Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 15

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Santo Andre U20		Velo Clube U20

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.60	4.00
	1.96	3.40	3.20
	1.64	3.6	4.45
	1.66	3.72	4.53	Watch
	1.59	3.4	4.8
	1.66	3.54	4.63
	1.9	3.4	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.96)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	4.14 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santo Andre U20
52.4%

Draw
25.7%

Velo Clube U20
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

26.3%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santo Andre U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santo Andre U20's performance.

Velo Clube U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Velo Clube U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santo Andre U20 than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velo Clube U20 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Velo Clube U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santo Andre U20 - Velo Clube U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 4 - 0, ⚽,
55', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Santo Andre U20 is Qualified for Paulista U20 (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Santo Andre U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santo Andre U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
04.09.26	Aguaí U20 - Santo Andre U20	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Santo Andre U20 - São Caetano U20	0:0 ✺
14.08.26	Santo Andre U20 - Piracicaba U20	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Ibrachina U20 - Santo Andre U20	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Botafogo SP U20 - Santo Andre U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WTTWL
- Velo Clube U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
04.09.26	Velo Clube U20 - Botafogo SP U20	0:4 ✺
21.08.26	EC São Bernardo U20 - Velo Clube U20	0:0 ✺
11.08.26	Velo Clube U20 - Desportivo Brasil U20	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Piracicaba U20 - Velo Clube U20	0:0 ✺
31.07.26	Velo Clube U20 - Sporting Paulinense U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTTTW

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