Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 6

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Santos)

Referee: Miranda L. (Bra)


	Santos		Brusque

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	9	Watch
	1.38	4.2	8
	1.38	4.33	8.5
	1.39	4.43	9.92
	1.4	4.4	9.81
	1.36	4.33	8.5
	1.34	4.68	8.88	Watch
	1.36	4.5	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)	4.45 ↓ (4.5)	8.88 ↓ (9.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
68.4%

Draw
21.1%

Brusque
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

20.7%

9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

19.9%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Santos - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Paulo (G) 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 4. Gil 6. Joaquim 31. Escobar G. 5. Joao Schmidt 21. Diego Pituca (C) 20. Giuliano 22. Otero R. 27. Willian Bigode 42. Weslley Patati	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 2. Everton Alemao 6. Matheus Salustiano 4. Wallace 66. Alex Ruan 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 8. Marcos Serrato 70. Anderson Rosa 10. Dentinho 17. Guilherme Queiroz 94. Paulinho Moccelin
Substitutes
2. Alex Nascimento 36. Cazares 77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 3. Hayner 32. Jair 23. Kevyson 30. Morelos A. 15. Nonato 88. Patrick 8. Rincon T. 29. Rodrigo Ferreira 37. Serginho	11. Diego Tavares 7. Dionisio 35. Georgemy (G) 3. Ianson . Jhemerson 18. Keke 21. Luiz Henrique 33. Madison 9. Olavio 80. Osman 15. Ronei
Coaches
Fabio Carille	Luizinho Lopes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Weslley Patati ⚽, Joao Pedro Chermont (A),
34', 2 - 0, Giuliano ⚽, Joao Pedro Chermont (A),
41', 3 - 0, Willian Bigode ⚽, Diego Pituca (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Anderson Rosa ↓, Keke ↑,
46', Rodolfo Potiguar ↓, Jhemerson ↑,
46', Dentinho ↓, Dionisio ↑,
50', Keke ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
63', Giuliano ↓, Cazares ↑,
70', Guilherme Queiroz ↓, Osman ↑,
73', Willian Bigode ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
73', Weslley Patati ↓, Serginho ↑,
73', Otero R. ↓, Patrick ↑,
77', Patrick 🟨,
79', Joao Schmidt 🟨,
81', 4 - 0, Morelos A. ⚽,
82', Joao Pedro Chermont ↓, Rodrigo Ferreira ↑,
90+3', Morelos A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 16).

Santos is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brusque has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Santos is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Santos to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie B
15.05.24	Ponte Preta - Santos	1:2 ✺
11.05.24	Amazonas - Santos	1:0 ✺
06.05.24	Santos - Guarani	4:1 ✺
26.04.24	Avaí - Santos	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Santos - Paysandu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWW
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
15.05.24	Brusque - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
11.05.24	Sport Recife - Brusque	4:1 ✺
05.05.24	Brusque - Goiás	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.24	Brusque - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
28.04.24	Coritiba - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

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