Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)


	Sport Boys		Comerciantes Belén

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.45	4.95
	1.67	3.31	6.59
	1.67	3.34	5.88
	1.5	3.25	6.5
	1.68	3.61	5.1
	1.63	3.35	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.59)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)	5.65 ↑ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Boys
56.5%

Draw
27.2%

Comerciantes Belén
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

25.7%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

25%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Sport Boys - Comerciantes Belén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Melian D. (G) 77. Celi Y. 99. Cueva C. 33. Davey J. 32. Erustes P. 28. Gonzales E. 13. Llontop M. 36. Paz N. 26. Riojas H. 11. Urruti L. 2. Zambrano C.	23. Ramirez B. (G) 28. Acosta A. 6. Arevalo F. 15. Guerrero Fonseca R. M. 10. Lemos M. 29. Perlaza V. 5. Pinedo D. 19. Ramua A. 3. Rios R. 33. Valdeblanquez J. 22. Vargas P.
Substitutes
4. Alfani R. 27. Flores V. 23. Gonzales J. 5. Illanes F. 24. Mora O. 9. Nequecaur L. 1. Nolasco J. (G) 17. Saba E. . Valiente A.	7. Bazan J. 8. Flores L. 25. Gonzales Cainamari F. J. 20. Labrin P. 43. Perez R. (G) 27. Reategui P. 24. Rojas Ihuaraqui P. N. 17. Vela P. 9. Zambrano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Cueva C. ↓, Mora O. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Riojas H. ↓, Alfani R. ↑,
59', Rios R. 🟨,
65', Vargas P. ↓, Labrin P. ↑,
65', Ramua A. ↓, Vela P. ↑,
69', Celi Y. ↓, Nequecaur L. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Urruti L. ⚽,
75', Arevalo F. 🟨,
77', Davey J. ↓, Valiente A. ↑,
77', Urruti L. ↓, Saba E. ↑,
82', Arevalo F. ↓, Rojas Ihuaraqui P. N. ↑,
82', Acosta A. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
84', Valdeblanquez J. 🟨,
90', Perlaza V. ↓, Bazan J. ↑,

Preview

Sport Boys has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Comerciantes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Comerciantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sport Boys is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Boys Association
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Universitario de Deportes - Sport Boys	Canceled ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
27.06.26	Sport Boys - Cantolao	3:0 ✺
13.06.26	Universidad San Martín - Sport Boys	2:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
30.05.26	Sport Boys - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Cajamarca - Sport Boys	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 ?WTWT
- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
27.06.26	Comerciantes Belén - Estudiantil CNI	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Belén	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Comerciantes Belén - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
22.05.26	Ayacucho - Comerciantes Belén	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Comerciantes Belén - Escuela Municipal Binacional	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWTTW

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