Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Corona (Torreón)

Referee: Garcia Mendoza K. I. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Santos Laguna		Querétaro

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.08	3.45	3.25
	2.06	3.65	3.51
	2.09	3.68	3.25	Watch
	2.08	3.46	3.29	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.01)	3.56 ↑ (3.55)	3.3 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos Laguna
45.2%

Draw
26.4%

Querétaro
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

25.8%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

25.3%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	18.2%	0%

Santos Laguna - Querétaro Predictions

Users Predictions: Santos Laguna will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Santos Laguna will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acevedo C. (G) 4. Abella J. (C) 19. Ortega H. 35. Balanta K. 2. Amione B. 20. Palacios K. 13. Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 5. Lopez A. 6. Guemez J. 26. Sordo R. 21. Villalba F.	25. Allison G. (G) 2. Mendoza Martin O. I. 9. Reyes D. (C) 6. Homenchenko S. 17. Venegas F. 16. Zapata A. 10. Rodriguez L. 28. Bogarin R. 7. Jhojan Julio 26. Perlaza J. 37. Coronel M.
Substitutes
9. Carrillo J. 195. Cedillo N. 17. Echeverria E. 23. Gutierrez E. 33. Holguin H. (G) 204. Jimenez T. 8. Mariscal Murra S. 24. Medina D. 188. Perez J. 22. Prieto R.	13. Armenta E. 31. Avila A. 8. Barrera P. 55. Carcelen Carabali M. A. 12. Gomez J. 1. Hernandez J. (G) 21. Pena F. 19. Perez A. 23. Robles J. 15. Villanueva C.
Coaches
Rodriguez F.	Mora B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ⚽, Sordo R. (A),
24', Mendoza Martin O. I. 🟨,
25', Jhojan Julio 🟨,
36', Palacios K. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Palacios K. ⚽,
42', Bogarin R. 🟨,
45', Reyes D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jhojan Julio ↓, Perez A. ↑,
58', Reyes D. ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Perez A. ⚽, Rodriguez L. (A),
68', 3 - 1, Villalba F. (Pen),
69', Bogarin R. ↓, Avila A. ↑,
69', Mendoza Martin O. I. ↓, Robles J. ↑,
72', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
78', Palacios K. ↓, Medina D. ↑,
84', Villalba F. ↓, Mariscal Murra S. ↑,
84', Lopez A. ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
84', Venegas F. ↓, Barrera P. ↑,
90+2', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↓, Jimenez T. ↑,
90+2', Sordo R. ↓, Echeverria E. ↑,
90+3', Balanta K. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Santos Laguna is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Santos Laguna: Dajome C. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Barticciotto B. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Querétaro: Gruezo E. (Knee Injury) Lertora F. (Calf Injury) Perlaza J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.6:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Querétaro - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.63%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos Laguna
Mexican Liga MX
21.10.25	Mazatlan - Santos Laguna	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Santos Laguna - Club León	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Club América - Santos Laguna	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Monterrey - Santos Laguna	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Santos Laguna - Tijuana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLLW
- Querétaro FC
Mexican Liga MX
22.10.25	Querétaro - Chivas Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Toluca - Querétaro	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	Querétaro - Puebla	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Querétaro - Tigres UANL	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Cruz Azul - Querétaro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
13.04.25	Santos Laguna - Querétaro	1:2
08.11.24	Querétaro - Santos Laguna	3:2
01.03.24	Querétaro - Santos Laguna	0:1
02.07.23	Santos Laguna - Querétaro	0:2
23.04.23	Santos Laguna - Querétaro	0:2
10.09.22	Querétaro - Santos Laguna	3:3
16.04.22	Santos Laguna - Querétaro	1:1

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