The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santos Laguna 46.7%
Draw 25.6%
Querétaro 27.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.7%
26.2%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
26.3%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos Laguna's performance.
Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Querétaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos Laguna that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Querétaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Santos Laguna - Querétaro Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Santos Laguna will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Querétaro will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Acevedo C. (C) 18. Pardo F. 25. Sanchez F. 14. Orona E. 3. Cuevas M. 23. Caseres F. 21. Villalba F. 17. Echeverria E. 19. Aguirre E. 29. Jimenez T. 10. Bullaude E.
25. Allison G. (G) 16. Gimenez E. 13. Reyes D. (C) 2. Abascia L. 27. Parra D. 4. Garcia C. 5. Homenchenko S. 7. Benito I. 11. Coronel M. 17. Munoz D. 9. Avila A.
Substitutes
4. Abella J. 193. Gomez L. 7. Gonzalez D. 6. Guemez J. 33. Holguin H. (G) 5. Lopez A. 20. Lozano E. 8. Mariscal Murra S. 28. Perez J. 26. Sordo R.
20. Alcala A. 24. Duarte B. 1. Hernandez J. (G) 29. Madrid W. 30. Martinez J. 8. Parra B. 12. Paulo Victor 26. Perez E. 23. Robles J. 15. Villanueva C.
Coaches
Alves R.
Gonzalez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
3', Bullaude E. 🟨,
14', Villalba F. (Penalty Awarded),
29', 1 - 0, Jimenez T. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Aguirre E. ⚽, Cuevas M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', Garcia C. 🟨,
58', Munoz D. ↓, Alcala A. ↑,
58', Garcia C. ↓, Duarte B. ↑,
63', 3 - 0, Jimenez T. ⚽, Bullaude E. (A),
67', Reyes D. 🟥,
70', Echeverria E. 🟨,
71', Villalba F. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
71', Benito I. ↓, Parra B. ↑,
71', Gimenez E. ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
71', Bullaude E. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
74', Duarte B. 🟨,
80', Cuevas M. ↓, Abella J. ↑,
80', Coronel M. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
85', Aguirre E. ↓, Guemez J. ↑,
87', 4 - 0, Guemez J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', 5 - 0, Jimenez T. ⚽, Abella J. (A),
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 4th in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 2.
Santos Laguna has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Querétaro is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Santos Laguna: Amione B.
(Knee Injury)
Di Yorio L.
(Leg Injury).
Confirmed absences for Querétaro: Duenas E.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Santos Laguna: Lozano C.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Querétaro: Alcala A.
(Muscle Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Santos Laguna has recorded 11 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:24 (averaging 1.7:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Santos Laguna against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 20:10 goals (averaging 1.7:0.8 per game).