Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Caliente (Tijuana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	SportsEngine Play, TUDN App, TUDN


	Tijuana		Querétaro

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.50	4.00	Watch
	1.93	3.50	3.70
	1.98	3.40	3.40	Watch
	2.09	3.55	4.14
	2.04	3.39	3.75	Watch
	1.92	3.50	4.10
	1.92	3.52	4.24	Watch
	1.95	3.45	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.1)	3.48 ↓ (3.57)	3.89 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tijuana
48.3%

Draw
27.3%

Querétaro
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

26.5%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

26.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tijuana - Querétaro Predictions

Users Predictions: Tijuana will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Rodriguez A. (C) 17. Arciga R. 12. Porozo J. 6. Gomez A. 16. Vega A. 8. Tona I. 11. Gonzalez F. 31. Padilla Y. 10. Mora G. 7. Preciado A. 9. El Ghezouani M.	25. Allison G. (G) 24. Duarte B. 13. Reyes D. (C) 2. Abascia L. 27. Parra D. 4. Garcia C. 5. Homenchenko S. 16. Gimenez E. 11. Coronel M. 12. Paulo Victor 9. Avila A.
Substitutes
19. Abreu D. 4. Bilbao U. 202. Gonzalez J. 29. Hernandez J. (G) 188. Magallon A. 18. Mejia A. 197. Orduno J. 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 26. Perez A. 20. Zapata A.	20. Alcala A. 7. Benito I. 18. Duenas E. 1. Hernandez J. (G) 29. Madrid W. 30. Martinez J. 17. Munoz D. 8. Parra B. 26. Perez E. 15. Villanueva C.
Coaches
Abreu S.	Gonzalez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Parra D. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Coronel M. ⚽, Homenchenko S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Padilla Y. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
62', Paulo Victor ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
67', Mora G. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
69', Duarte B. 🟨,
75', Duarte B. ↓, Benito I. ↑,
82', Gonzalez F. ↓, Mejia A. ↑,
85', Coronel M. ↓, Alcala A. ↑,
86', Garcia C. ↓, Parra B. ↑,
86', Gimenez E. ↓, Duenas E. ↑,
88', Avila A. 🟨,
90+6', Homenchenko S. 🟨,
90+8', Reyes D. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 4.

Tijuana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Querétaro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Querétaro has had a series of away games.

In this match, Tijuana is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Queretaro	10	6	2	2	15:8	7	20
8	Club Tijuana	10	4	3	3	15:14	1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Querétaro - the odds 3.31 are the expected chance of winning is 28.54%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX
28.08.26	Tijuana - UNAM	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana	5:2 ✺
16.08.26	Tijuana - Cruz Azul	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
13.08.26	Portland Timbers - Tijuana	3:1 ✺
06.08.26	Austin FC - Tijuana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLL
- Querétaro FC
Mexican Liga MX
29.08.26	Atlas - Querétaro	1:3 ✺
21.08.26	Querétaro - Toluca	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	UNAM - Querétaro	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
12.08.26	Los Angeles - Querétaro	2:1 penalties ✺
09.08.26	Seattle Sounders - Querétaro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
14.01.26	Querétaro - Tijuana	1:2
11.07.25	Tijuana - Querétaro	1:0
24.01.25	Tijuana - Querétaro	2:1
05.07.24	Querétaro - Tijuana	1:2
09.02.24	Tijuana - Querétaro	1:1
21.10.23	Querétaro - Tijuana	1:0
CONCACAF League Cup
30.07.23	Tijuana - Querétaro	0:1

Upcoming Matches