Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Santurtzi		Real Sociedad C

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.4
	1.79	3.75	3.75
	4.16	3.20	1.89	Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.8	3.54	3.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.04)	3.42 ↑ (3.05)	3.31 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santurtzi
42.2%

Draw
28.4%

Real Sociedad C
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

29.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

29.7%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santurtzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Real Sociedad C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad C than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Santurtzi - Real Sociedad C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Lopez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 2, Gorosabel J. ⚽,
67', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santurtzi won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Real Sociedad C may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Santurtzi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Santurtzi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Santurtzi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Real Sociedad C	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8
17	Santurtzi	5	1	0	4	2:7	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santurtzi
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
02.04.26	Pasaia - Santurtzi	1:3 ✺
28.03.26	Santurtzi - Lagun Onak	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Deusto - Santurtzi	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Santurtzi - Portugalete	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	San Ignacio - Santurtzi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWTL
- Real Sociedad C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
02.04.26	Zarautz KE - Real Sociedad C	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Real Sociedad C - Pasaia	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Lagun Onak - Real Sociedad C	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Real Sociedad C - Deusto	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Portugalete - Real Sociedad C	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
07.12.25	Real Sociedad C - Santurtzi	2:0
27.10.19	Santurtzi - Real Sociedad C	1:1
03.02.19	Santurtzi - Real Sociedad C	2:2
16.09.18	Real Sociedad C - Santurtzi	0:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
25.02.18	Santurtzi - Real Sociedad C	1:2
12.10.17	Real Sociedad C - Santurtzi	3:2

Santurtzi - Real Sociedad C: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide