Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 29

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Pasaia		Santurtzi

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.82	2.98
	2.42	2.84	3.14
	2.41	2.86	3.09
	2.4	2.8	2.9
	2.37	2.79	3.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.66)	2.82 ↑ (2.79)	3.04 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pasaia
37.9%

Draw
32.2%

Santurtzi
29.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.9%

32.3%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

33%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pasaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Santurtzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Pasaia - Santurtzi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pasaia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Pasaia	8	3	1	4	10:16	-6	10
14	Santurtzi	8	3	0	5	6:10	-4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pasaia KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
29.03.26	Real Sociedad C - Pasaia	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Zarautz KE - Pasaia	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Pasaia - Lagun Onak	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Deusto - Pasaia	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Pasaia - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTLT
- CD Santurtzi
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.03.26	Santurtzi - Lagun Onak	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Deusto - Santurtzi	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Santurtzi - Portugalete	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	San Ignacio - Santurtzi	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Santurtzi - Derio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
22.11.25	Santurtzi - Pasaia	1:3
24.11.24	Santurtzi - Pasaia	2:2

Pasaia - Santurtzi