Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Eva Peron (Junin)

Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
China	K-Ball
Croatia	MAXtv To Go
Mexico	Fanatiz
Portugal	Sport TV3
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Sarmiento de Junín		Rosario Central

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.1	1.92	Watch
	3.9	2.95	2.05
	4.4	2.95	2.02	Watch
	4.63	3.03	2.04
	4.02	2.42	2.49	Watch
	3.5	2.9	2.2
	4.6	3.13	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (3.11)	2.93 ↓ (3.08)	2.09 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín
22.6%

Draw
32.3%

Rosario Central
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

30.7%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

31.6%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarmiento de Junín's form might have worsened.

Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rosario Central's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarmiento de Junín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rosario Central, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Rosario will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Rosario (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Rosario (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Rosario (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Acosta L. (G) 21. Vigo A. 14. Roncaglia F. 2. Insaurralde J. 39. Godoy J. 25. Villalba C. 5. Garcia M. 19. Contrera J. 29. Gomez J. 22. Gonzalez G. 18. Morales I.	1. Broun J. (G) 32. Coronel E. 6. Komar J. 2. Quintana C. 3. Sandez A. 5. Ibarra F. 11. Di Maria A. 10. Malcorra I. 8. Campaz J. 21. Lopez S. 9. Veliz A.
Substitutes
9. Ardaiz J. 26. Arismendi Y. 99. Devecchi J. (G) 33. Diaz G. 20. Frias F. 23. Gimenez E. 36. Morales S. 12. Pratto L. 11. Rodriguez S. 34. Seyral A. 15. Suhr L. 17. Vallejos J.	26. Cantizano G. 22. Copetti E. 27. Duarte G. 33. Elordi J. M. 16. Gimenez E. 7. Lovera M. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 31. Navarro F. 30. O'Connor T. 46. Ovando I. 17. Segovia S. 20. Werner A. (G)
Coaches
Sava F.	Holan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Veliz A. 🟨,
32', Morales I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Roncaglia F. ↓, Orihuela R. ↑,
46', Villalba C. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
46', Gonzalez G. ↓, Arismendi Y. ↑,
46', Contrera J. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
46', Coronel E. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
46', Quintana C. ↓, Mallo Blanco F. ↑,
46', Lopez S. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
52', Garcia M. 🟨,
67', Godoy J. 🟨,
79', Arismendi Y. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
83', Ardaiz J. ↓, Frias F. ↑,
87', Acosta L. 🟨,
90', Orihuela R. 🟨,
90', Diaz G. 🟨,
90', 0 - 1, Di Maria A. (Pen),
90+1', Gomez J. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
90+6', Campaz J. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
90+8', Insaurralde J. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2.

Recent performances by Sarmiento have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rosario is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rosario might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Gutierrez K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Sarmiento: Orihuela R. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.10.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 LWLLW
- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.10.25	Rosario Central - Platense	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Rosario Central - River Plate	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central	0:3 ✺
21.09.25	Rosario Central - Talleres de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.02.25	Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0
19.07.24	Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín	4:2
03.03.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central	4:1
08.07.22	Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0
06.08.21	Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central	1:0
02.04.17	Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central	2:2
21.03.16	Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0

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