Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Eva Peron (Junin)

Referee: Penel A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Sarmiento de Junín		Instituto Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.65	2.95	Watch
	2.85	2.7	2.95	Watch
	2.94	2.78	3
	2.89	2.73	2.89	Watch
	2.97	2.68	2.77	Watch
	2.85	2.75	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 (2.89)	2.72 ↓ (2.73)	2.9 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín
32.7%

Draw
34.8%

Instituto Córdoba
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

34.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

35.4%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Sarmiento de Junín have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Instituto Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sarmiento (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Acosta L. (G) 21. Vigo A. 44. Orihuela R. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 39. Godoy J. 19. Contrera J. 29. Gomez J. 5. Garcia M. 33. Diaz G. 18. Morales I. 20. Frias F.	28. Roffo M. (G) 17. Beltran E. 5. Zalazar N. 6. Alarcon F. R. (C) 26. Mosevich L. 21. Pereyra E. 20. Cordoba Mosquera J. E. 13. Mendez J. 19. Lodico G. A. 10. Luna A. 24. Romero J.
Substitutes
9. Ardaiz J. 26. Arismendi Y. 32. Devecchi J. (G) 23. Gimenez E. 10. Paradela F. 12. Pratto L. 30. Renteria J. 11. Rodriguez S. 34. Seyral A. 15. Suhr L. 17. Vallejos J. 25. Villalba C.	8. Acevedo J. 30. Diaz F. 11. Fonseca M. 2. Franco J. 15. Gallardo M. 77. Klimowicz L. 16. Lazaro J. 14. Mac Allister F. 34. Moreyra S. 38. Papaleo J. (G) 31. Requena G. 18. Rodriguez L.
Coaches
Sava F.	Oldra D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Insaurralde J. ⚽, Contrera J. (A),
6', 2 - 0, Garcia M. ⚽, Frias F. (A),
32', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Romero J. ↓, Fonseca M. ↑,
46', Mendez J. ↓, Moreyra S. ↑,
51', Contrera J. 🟨,
53', Moreyra S. 🟨,
54', Frias F. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
61', Luna A. ↓, Lazaro J. ↑,
61', Lodico G. A. ↓, Gallardo M. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Moreyra S. ⚽,
70', Morales I. ↓, Seyral A. ↑,
70', Gomez J. ↓, Villalba C. ↑,
70', Gomez J. 🟨,
79', Vigo A. ↓, Arismendi Y. ↑,
81', Pereyra E. ↓, Acevedo J. ↑,
89', Seyral A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2.

Recent form of Sarmiento has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Instituto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Instituto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Instituto: Puebla D. (Ankle Injury) Suarez F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sarmiento: Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Villalba C. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Sarmiento de Junín - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.69%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.11.25	Platense - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TLLWL
- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.10.25	Instituto Córdoba - Rosario Central	1:3 ✺
20.10.25	Deportivo Riestra - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Instituto Córdoba - Atlético Tucumán	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	San Martín de San Juan - Instituto Córdoba	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Instituto Córdoba - Lanús	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.04.25	Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1
10.05.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba	1:2
29.01.23	Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	0:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.02.20	Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba	2:1
22.08.19	Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	2:3
04.02.19	Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba	1:1
06.05.18	Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba	0:0

Upcoming Matches