Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez (San Juan)

Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	San Martín de San Juan		Instituto Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.57	2.7	3.2	Watch
	2.5	2.8	3.2
	2.5	2.82	3.2
	2.69	2.82	3.31
	3.13	2.01	4.03	Watch
	2.53	2.77	3.22	Watch
	2.47	2.72	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.33)	2.66 ↓ (2.89)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de San Juan
36.1%

Draw
35.6%

Instituto Córdoba
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

32.4%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

31.5%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Martín de San Juan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	62.5%	37.5%

San Martín de San Juan - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Instituto will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borgogno M. (G) 16. Portillo A. 29. Lecanda T. 6. Recalde L. 30. Diarte L. 49. Gonzalez D. 21. Watson N. 10. Gonzalez S. 28. Iacobellis M. 8. Tijanovich H. 11. Maestro I.	28. Roffo M. (G) 26. Mosevich L. 6. Alarcon F. R. 5. Zalazar N. 17. Beltran E. 8. Acevedo J. 19. Lodico G. A. 13. Mendez J. 18. Rodriguez L. 10. Luna A. 77. Klimowicz L.
Substitutes
32. Anselmo F. 34. Barrera S. 2. Caseres R. 15. Cavallaro J. 27. Fernandez T. 22. Jaurena S. 37. Menendez J. 4. Molina A. 39. Orihuela M. 14. Pablo Garcia 18. Salle S. 13. Velazco M. (G)	32. Bravo A. 7. Cordero N. 20. Cordoba Mosquera J. E. 11. Fonseca M. 2. Franco J. 15. Gallardo M. 23. Klimowicz M. 14. Mac Allister F. 34. Moreyra S. 38. Papaleo J. (G) 21. Pereyra E. 31. Requena G.
Coaches
Romagnoli L.	Oldra D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Mosevich L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mosevich L. ↓, Moreyra S. ↑,
46', Acevedo J. ↓, Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↑,
52', Iacobellis M. ↓, Salle S. ↑,
52', Gonzalez S. ↓, Barrera S. ↑,
52', Gonzalez D. ↓, Jaurena S. ↑,
59', Watson N. 🟥,
64', Maestro I. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
67', Klimowicz L. ↓, Gallardo M. ↑,
69', Mendez J. ↓, Fonseca M. ↑,
74', Lodico G. A. 🟨,
76', Roffo M. 🟨,
78', Salle S. 🟨,
78', Fernandez T. 🟨,
78', Cordoba Mosquera J. E. 🟨,
83', Lodico G. A. ↓, Mac Allister F. ↑,
88', Tijanovich H. ↓, Cavallaro J. ↑,
90+1', Lecanda T. 🟨,
90+1', Alarcon F. R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

San Martín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in San Martín: Pelaitay N. (Inactive) Tijanovich H. (Injury)

There will not play in Instituto: Fonseca M. (Muscle Injury) Lazaro J. (Muscle Injury) Puebla D. (Ankle Injury) Rodriguez L. (Hamstring Injury) Romero J. (Muscle Injury) Suarez F. (Knee Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de San Juan
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.09.25	Platense - San Martín de San Juan	2:2 ✺
19.09.25	San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield	1:2 ✺
11.09.25	Belgrano - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	River Plate - San Martín de San Juan	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	San Martín de San Juan - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLTLW
- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.09.25	Instituto Córdoba - Lanús	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Godoy Cruz - Instituto Córdoba	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Instituto Córdoba - Argentinos Juniors	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Instituto Córdoba - Independiente	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	San Lorenzo - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.03.25	Instituto Córdoba - San Martín de San Juan	1:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.07.22	Instituto Córdoba - San Martín de San Juan	2:1
30.10.21	San Martín de San Juan - Instituto Córdoba	1:0
04.07.21	Instituto Córdoba - San Martín de San Juan	1:1
Copa Argentina
18.05.16	San Martín de San Juan - Instituto Córdoba	0:1
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.10.14	Instituto Córdoba - San Martín de San Juan	2:0
23.08.14	San Martín de San Juan - Instituto Córdoba	2:0

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