Match Info

1. Lig - Round 29

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Yusuf Ziya Onis (Istanbul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Sarıyer		Umraniyespor

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.6	Watch
	1.83	3.25	3.75
	2	3.29	3.48	Watch
	1.83	3.4	4.68
	1.84	3.63	4	Watch
	2	3.1	3.6
	1.95	3.22	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.84)	3.31 ↓ (3.55)	3.82 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarıyer
48.1%

Draw
27.8%

Umraniyespor
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

26.1%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

25.2%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarıyer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Sarıyer - Umraniyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bayram M. (G) 77. Karayel C. 14. Mert M. 20. Osmanpasa C. 19. Bayram O. (C) 28. Yesilyurt H. E. 27. Kulasin E. 53. Poko A. 88. Silva M. 70. Camara M. 90. Eze E.	35. Topaloglu C. (G) 81. Bulbul A. T. 14. Kocaturk Y. 44. Glumac T. (C) 75. Kaplan E. 8. Goksu S. 88. Djokanovic A. 20. Babacan A. 77. Benny 9. Celik B. 11. Ekincier B.
Substitutes
97. Akyuz F. (G) 9. Dembele P. M. 35. Kara A. 91. Kor B. 5. Korkmazoglu E. 4. Ozer F. 7. Regattin A. 48. Sol O. 6. Traore H. 22. Yilmaz O.	1. Adiyaman U. (G) 5. Aktas K. 10. Bardhi J. 4. Eser M. 17. Hoti E. 12. Kosoko T. 53. Oksuz B. 30. Sas Y. D. 70. Yildirim O. 59. Yilmaz Y.
Coaches
Cetin S.	Acikgoz L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Benny ⚽, Babacan A. (A),
41', 0 - 2, Celik B. ⚽, Babacan A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yesilyurt H. E. ↓, Kara A. ↑,
46', Kulasin E. ↓, Dembele P. M. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Eze E. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Bayram O. 🟨,
71', Babacan A. ↓, Bardhi J. ↑,
78', Poko A. ↓, Regattin A. ↑,
78', Eze E. ↓, Kor B. ↑,
83', Bayram O. ↓, Korkmazoglu E. ↑,
83', Goksu S. ↓, Hoti E. ↑,
84', Benny ↓, Sas Y. D. ↑,
90+5', Ekincier B. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑,
90+5', Mert M. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 15 and 16)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Sarıyer is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Sarıyer: Babacar K. (Inactive) Djilobodji P. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Sarıyer: Yesilyurt H. E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Umraniyespor: Bardhi J. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Sarıyer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sariyer	8	4	2	2	11:9	2	14
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	6:9	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarıyer
Turkish First League
01.03.26	Sakaryaspor - Sarıyer	0:0 ✺
23.02.26	Sarıyer - Adana Demirspor	5:0 ✺
19.02.26	Sarıyer - Amed SK	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Pendikspor - Sarıyer	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Sarıyer - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWTLW
- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
01.03.26	Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Çorum - Umraniyespor	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Umraniyespor - Boluspor	4:2 ✺
13.02.26	Igdirspor - Umraniyespor	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Umraniyespor - İstanbulspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
17.10.25	Umraniyespor - Sarıyer	1:3
Turkish Second League White Group
11.03.16	Umraniyespor - Sarıyer	1:0
30.10.15	Sarıyer - Umraniyespor	0:2

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