The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lucchese 26.8%
Draw 30.3%
Arezzo 43%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
28.1%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
29%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucchese's form might have worsened.
Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arezzo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucchese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arezzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
60%
40%
Lucchese - Arezzo Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Arezzo will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Arezzo: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Palmisani L. (G) 30. Gemignani A. 6. Gasbarro A. 33. Sabbione A. 29. Antoni E. 14. Quirini E. 8. Tumbarello G. 27. Gucher R. 21. Visconti E. 70. Saporiti E. 9. Magnaghi S.
1. Trombini L. (G) 2. Montini A. 15. Gigli N. 4. Del Fabro D. 27. Coccia L. 6. Renzi A. 18. Damiani M. 20. Santoro S. 7. Guccione F. 9. Ogunseye R. 21. Tavernelli C.
Substitutes
23. Botrini T. 28. Cartano R. 31. Catanese G. 1. Coletta J. (G) 90. Costantino R. 7. Djibril M. 5. Frison F. 38. Leone M. 17. Mozzillo M. 18. Sasanelli L. 10. Selvini A.
30. Barboni F. 26. Bigi N. 22. Borra D. (G) 16. Eklu S. M. 14. Fiore S. 11. Gaddini M. 12. Galli A. (G) 28. Gucci N. 17. Lazzarini M. 25. Masetti L. 10. Pattarello E. 23. Righetti S. 8. Settembrini A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Sabbione A. 🟥,
23', 0 - 1, Guccione F. (Pen),
26', Ogunseye R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Magnaghi S. ↓, Selvini A. ↑,
46', Coccia L. ↓, Righetti S. ↑,
46', Damiani M. ↓, Eklu S. M. ↑,
49', Tumbarello G. 🟨,
55', Tavernelli C. ↓, Pattarello E. ↑,
59', Ogunseye R. ↓, Gucci N. ↑,
60', Renzi A. 🟨,
73', Antoni E. ↓, Catanese G. ↑,
81', Visconti E. ↓, Sasanelli L. ↑,
86', Guccione F. ↓, Gaddini M. ↑,
90+1', Tumbarello G. ↓, Cartano R. ↑,
90+1', Gemignani A. ↓, Djibril M. ↑,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 1.
Lucchese is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Arezzo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Arezzo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:13 (average 1.2:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1:1).
Italy
Switzerland
World
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Palmisani L. (G) 
Gucher R. 
Eklu S. M. 
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