Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 15

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254


	Ternana		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.9	6.25
	1.46	4	6.8
	1.43	4.12	8
	1.49	3.92	7.2	Watch
	1.4	3.9	7
	1.43	3.95	6.81	Watch
	1.46	4	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.6)	3.97 ↑ (3.84)	6.98 ↑ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
63.7%

Draw
23.1%

Lucchese
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

23.4%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ternana's performance.

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucchese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Ternana - Lucchese Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
62. Vannucchi G. (G) 20. Donati F. 6. Loiacono G. 19. Capuano M. 3. Tito F. 8. de Boer K. 5. Corradini G. 70. Romeo F. 11. Curcio A. 10. Cicerelli E. 71. Cianci P.	1. Coletta J. (G) 5. Frison F. 13. Fazzi N. 26. Cartano R. 14. Quirini E. 31. Catanese G. 8. Tumbarello G. 21. Visconti E. 29. Antoni E. 70. Saporiti E. 9. Magnaghi S.
Substitutes
17. Aloi S. 32. Carboni M. 15. Casasola T. 99. Donnarumma A. 9. Ferrante A. 13. Maestrelli A. 87. Martella B. 21. Mattheus C. 7. Patane N. 1. Vitali T. (G)	12. Allegrucci L. (G) 23. Botrini T. 90. Costantino R. 7. Djibril M. 4. Dumbravanu D. 6. Gasbarro A. 30. Gemignani A. 38. Leone M. 11. Ndiaye B. 33. Sabbione A. 18. Sasanelli L. 10. Selvini A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Cicerelli E. ⚽,
25', Corradini G. 🟨,
40', Saporiti E. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Cicerelli E. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', Frison F. 🟨,
57', 3 - 0, Corradini G. ⚽,
62', Cartano R. ↓, Sabbione A. ↑,
62', Antoni E. ↓, Gemignani A. ↑,
70', Corradini G. ↓, Aloi S. ↑,
72', Curcio A. ↓, Donnarumma A. ↑,
73', Donati F. ↓, Casasola T. ↑,
74', Cicerelli E. ↓, Martella B. ↑,
82', 4 - 0, Donnarumma A. ⚽,
87', Cianci P. ↓, Patane N. ↑,
89', 5 - 0, Casasola T. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 14).

Ternana is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lucchese is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ternana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ternana is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
10.11.24	Perugia - Ternana	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Ternana - SPAL	4:1 ✺
29.10.24	Sestri Levante - Ternana	0:1 ✺
25.10.24	Ternana - Rimini	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Sassari Torres - Ternana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWTT
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
09.11.24	Lucchese - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Campobasso - Lucchese	3:0 ✺
30.10.24	Virtus Entella - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Lucchese - Pescara	1:3 ✺
20.10.24	Carpi - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLTLT

Ternana - Lucchese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide