The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sasso Marconi 29.6%
Draw 26.2%
Aglianese 44.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
27.5%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
19.6%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sasso Marconi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Aglianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aglianese's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (+17.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sasso Marconi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aglianese than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aglianese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Sasso Marconi is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Aglianese is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Aglianese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Aglianese will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Sasso Marconi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Sasso Marconi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
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