Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 32

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Imolese		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	5.15	3.35	1.62
	4.47	3.33	1.7
	5.07	3.54	1.63	Watch
	4.5	3.1	1.7
	5.2	3.54	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (4.85)	3.37 ↓ (3.43)	1.67 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Imolese
18.6%

Draw
26.9%

Desenzano Calvina
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

26.4%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

26.1%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Imolese - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In recent matches, Imolese has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Desenzano is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Imolese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Desenzano is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Imolese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Desenzano Calvina - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 54.89%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imolese Calcio 1919
Italian Serie D - Group D
02.04.26	Imolese - Cittadella Vis Modena	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Pro Sesto - Imolese	2:4 ✺
21.03.26	Imolese - Crema	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	SantAngelo - Imolese	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Imolese - Trevigliese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWWLL
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D
12.04.26	Desenzano Calvina - Sasso Marconi	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Tropical Coriano - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Rovato Vertovese - Desenzano Calvina	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Desenzano Calvina - Cittadella Vis Modena	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Pro Sesto - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
07.12.25	Desenzano Calvina - Imolese	4:3

Upcoming Matches