Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Desenzano Calvina		Sasso Marconi

	1	X	2
	1.36	3.95	8.1
	1.31	4.26	10.83
	1.3	4.15	11.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.27)	4.12 ↓ (4.38)	10.11 ↓ (11.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
68.9%

Draw
22.1%

Sasso Marconi
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

20.7%

7.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Sasso Marconi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Desenzano Calvina - Sasso Marconi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Baraye Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).

Desenzano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sasso Marconi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sasso Marconi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Desenzano is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Desenzano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D
08.04.26	Tropical Coriano - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Rovato Vertovese - Desenzano Calvina	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Desenzano Calvina - Cittadella Vis Modena	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Pro Sesto - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Desenzano Calvina - Crema	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWWT
- ASD Sasso Marconi 1924
Italian Serie D - Group D
02.04.26	Sasso Marconi - Lentigione	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Cittadella Vis Modena - Sasso Marconi	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Sasso Marconi - Tuttocuoio	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Tropical Coriano - Sasso Marconi	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Sasso Marconi - Correggese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
30.11.25	Sasso Marconi - Desenzano Calvina	1:3
15.12.19	Sasso Marconi - Desenzano Calvina	1:2
31.03.19	Sasso Marconi - Desenzano Calvina	0:1

Upcoming Matches