The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sassuolo 27.8%
Draw 26.9%
Milan 45.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.8%
24.8%
50.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.4%
24.2%
49.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Sassuolo - Milan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Benz N. (G) 8. Brustia M. 25. Venturelli C. 5. Caiazzo S. 2. Philtjens D. (C) 7. Skupien K. 4. Fercocq H. 6. Doms M. 13. Dhont E. 12. Missipo K. 90. Ndjoah Eto N.
1. Giuliani L. (G) 2. Koivisto E. 25. De Sanders K. 23. Piga J. 20. Soffia A. 8. Arrigoni G. 12. Mascarello M. 11. Grimshaw C. (C) 14. Park Soo-Jeong 99. Dompig C. 15. Stokic S.
Substitutes
15. Brignoli B. 26. Clelland L. 78. De Bona F. (G) 16. Durand S. (G) 10. Filis M. 19. Galabadaarachchi J. 14. Hagemann M. 3. Mella S. 21. Nash J. J. 30. Perselli M. 46. Rossi A. 9. Sabatino D.
5. Cernoia V. 39. Donolato V. 13. Estevez S. (G) 80. Kamczyk E. 21. Keijzer M. 7. Kyvag T. 18. Renzotti M. 6. Sorelli N. 24. Tornaghi L. (G) 10. van Dooren K.
Coaches
Colantuono S.
Bakker S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Stokic S. ⚽, Soffia A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Fercocq H. ↓, Perselli M. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Stokic S. ⚽, Grimshaw C. (A),
66', Ndjoah Eto N. ↓, Clelland L. ↑,
66', Dhont E. ↓, Sabatino D. ↑,
66', Skupien K. ↓, Galabadaarachchi J. ↑,
67', Dompig C. ↓, van Dooren K. ↑,
67', Park Soo-Jeong ↓, Kyvag T. ↑,
70', Brustia M. ↓, Nash J. J. ↑,
87', 0 - 3, Kyvag T. ⚽, Arrigoni G. (A),
90', Grimshaw C. ↓, Kamczyk E. ↑,
90', De Sanders K. ↓, Keijzer M. ↑,
90+8', Koivisto E. ↓, Sorelli N. ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 8)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 2.
Sassuolo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Milan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Milan is a strong favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:28. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Sassuolo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).