Match Info

National League North - Round 19

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Mounting Systems Stadium (Bridlington)


	Scarborough Athletic		Alfreton Town

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	3.9
	1.78	3.55	4.05
	1.79	3.71	4.2
	1.66	3.86	4.65	Watch
	1.74	3.44	4.28
	1.77	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.66)	3.63 ↓ (3.86)	4.18 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scarborough Athletic
52.7%

Draw
25.3%

Alfreton Town
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24.1%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

25%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scarborough Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Scarborough Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Scarborough Athletic - Alfreton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Scarborough will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Scarborough won 2.

Recent form of Scarborough has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alfreton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Scarborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Scarborough has had a series of away games.

In this match, Scarborough is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Scarborough won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Scarborough won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scarborough Athletic
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Leek Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
English National League North
08.11.25	Curzon Ashton - Scarborough Athletic	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Worksop Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Scarborough Athletic - Marine	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	South Shields - Scarborough Athletic	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL
- Alfreton Town
English National League North
22.11.25	Merthyr Town - Alfreton Town	6:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Alfreton Town	1:2 ✺
English National League North
11.11.25	Alfreton Town - Spennymoor Town	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Alfreton Town - Fylde	0:1 ✺
04.11.25	Chorley - Alfreton Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
08.02.25	Scarborough Athletic - Alfreton Town	0:2
07.09.24	Alfreton Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1
20.04.24	Scarborough Athletic - Alfreton Town	0:1
11.11.23	Alfreton Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:3
21.02.23	Scarborough Athletic - Alfreton Town	2:0
25.10.22	Alfreton Town - Scarborough Athletic	2:0

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