Match Info
National League North - Round 18Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Merthyr Town |
|
Alfreton Town |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.05 |
3.4 |
3 |
|
 |
2.08 |
3.55 |
3.05 |
|
 |
1.99 |
3.71 |
3.29 |
 Watch |
 |
2.14 |
3.54 |
3.13 |
|
 |
1.96 |
3.65 |
3.2 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(1.94) |
3.57 ↑
(3.57) |
3.13 ↓
(3.3) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Merthyr Town
44.9% | Draw
25.7% | Alfreton Town
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-2.9%)Merthyr Town - Alfreton Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Beck M. ⚽,
- 12', 0 - 2, Ligendza S. ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 2, Jarvis C. ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 2, Rees R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 57', 3 - 2, Jarvis C. ⚽,
- 82', 4 - 2, Rees R. ⚽,
- 89', 5 - 2, Twamley L. ⚽,
- 90+4', 6 - 2, Rees R. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19).Currently, both teams are in excellent shape. Merthyr might have a minor edge in this game. Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
