Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 17

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Warrington Town		Alfreton Town

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	1.95
	3.3	3.25	1.93
	3.6	3.3	2
	3.7	3.28	2.04
	3.68	3.35	2.02
	4.2	3.4	1.75
	3.55	3.38	1.98
	3.6	3.3	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (2.98)	3.33 ↓ (3.36)	1.96 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrington Town
25.4%

Draw
27.6%

Alfreton Town
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

27.1%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

27.3%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warrington Town's form might have worsened.

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Warrington Town - Alfreton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 0 - 1, Waldock L. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 18 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Warrington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alfreton will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Warrington won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Warrington won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Town
English National League North
05.11.24	Brackley Town - Warrington Town	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Warrington Town - South Shields	0:3 ✺
26.10.24	Darlington - Warrington Town	2:2 ✺
22.10.24	Warrington Town - Hereford	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Warrington Town - Oxford City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLTWL
- Alfreton Town
English National League North
05.11.24	Peterborough Sports - Alfreton Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.24	Notts County - Alfreton Town	5:1 ✺
English National League North
26.10.24	Rushall Olympic - Alfreton Town	1:3 ✺
22.10.24	Alfreton Town - Spennymoor Town	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Alfreton Town - Chorley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
13.01.24	Warrington Town - Alfreton Town	2:2
07.10.23	Alfreton Town - Warrington Town	1:1

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