Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/128-finals

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent)


	Burton Albion		Scarborough Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.5	5
	1.55	4.5	5.25
	1.55	4.5	5	Watch
	1.54	4.75	4.84
	1.52	4.6	5.21	Watch
	1.57	4.33	5.5
	1.58	4.45	5.2	Watch
	1.55	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.35)	4.52 ↓ (5.06)	5.13 ↓ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burton Albion
60.8%

Draw
20.8%

Scarborough Athletic
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18.5%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.6%

20.7%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burton Albion's form might have worsened.

Scarborough Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Scarborough Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burton Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Scarborough Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Burton Albion - Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Scarborough will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Isted H. (G) 14. Akoto N. 6. Sweeney R. 15. Vancooten T. 34. Whitfield B. 4. Watt E. (C) 23. Bran Flores A. J. 19. Williams D. 16. Cooper-Love J. 8. Webster C. 49. Donovan R.	1. Whitley R. (G) 24. Maltby M. 5. Thornton W. (C) 6. Gooda B. 2. Weledji K. 8. Purver A. 14. Wiles A. 11. Colville L. 21. Brown A. 17. Tear D. 26. Bennett R.
Substitutes
17. Armer J. 21. Bannon A. 32. Bennett M. 18. Burrell R. 1. Crocombe M. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. 7. Kalinauskas T. 9. Orsi-Dadomo D. 20. Sraha J.	13. Bancroft M. (G) 7. Glynn K. 10. Green H. 4. Maloney L. 9. Mulhern E. F. 20. Wilson C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Gooda B. 🟨,
27', Cooper-Love J. (Pen),
45+5', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Tear D. 🟨,
54', Akoto N. ↓, Godwin-Malife U. ↑,
54', Bran Flores A. J. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
62', Sweeney R. 🟨,
65', Donovan R. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Kalinauskas T. ⚽,
71', Colville L. ↓, Green H. ↑,
74', Orsi-Dadomo D. 🟨,
76', Gooda B. ↓, Glynn K. ↑,
78', Wiles A. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
78', Bennett R. ↓, Mulhern E. F. ↑,
85', Purver A. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
90+1', Williams D. 🟨,
90+6', Mulhern E. F. 🟨,

Preview

Burton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Scarborough is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Burton is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Scarborough to win the game is with odds 4.83.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burton Albion
English League One
26.10.24	Cambridge United - Burton Albion	1:0 ✺
22.10.24	Burton Albion - Wycombe Wanderers	2:3 ✺
19.10.24	Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Burton Albion - Bristol Rovers	1:3 ✺
01.10.24	Reading - Burton Albion	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
26.10.24	Marine - Scarborough Athletic	0:1 ✺
22.10.24	Scarborough Athletic - Curzon Ashton	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Scarborough Athletic - Southport	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Scarborough Athletic - Chester	3:1 ✺
English National League North
05.10.24	Leamington - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWT

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