Match Info

Challenge League - Round 32

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Berformance Arena Schaffhausen (Schaffhausen)

Referee: Sanli H. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4


	Schaffhausen		Aarau

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.8	1.53
	4.9	4	1.6
	5.66	4.26	1.55
	5.39	4.13	1.57	Watch
	5	3.8	1.55
	5.48	4.18	1.54	Watch
	4.9	4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.16 ↑ (4.93)	4.02 ↑ (3.96)	1.56 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schaffhausen
17.9%

Draw
23%

Aarau
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

23.4%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

22.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schaffhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Schaffhausen aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Schaffhausen - Aarau Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Schaffhausen will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Aarau will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aarau (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Rutigliano S. (G) 21. Wetz N. 2. Da Graca K. 4. Schlappi B. 3. Hoxha F. 76. Hamdiu V. (C) 24. Hegglin I. 8. Berhane J. 22. De Donno G. 99. Rossi K. 11. Chiappetta C.	1. Hubel M. (G) 29. Dickenmann M. 15. Muller S. 5. Acquah D. 27. Obexer L. 23. Gjorgjev N. 47. Fofana M. 8. Jackle O. (C) 17. Koide H. 10. Fazliu V. 9. Toure Y.
Substitutes
45. Appiah A. 10. Bunjaku O. 34. De Nitti G. (G) 6. Gelmi R. 18. Holenstein N. 15. Lika B. 37. Maluvunu E. 77. Vogt W. 16. Willimann M.	26. Bahloul S. 25. Derbaci D. 18. Essiam E. 11. Filet E. 49. Gebreyesus E. 4. Hasani B. 30. Hirzel A. (G) 38. Kessler R. 31. Odutayo C.
Coaches
Yakin H.	Iacopetta B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Hamdiu V. 🟨,
38', Fofana M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Toure Y. ⚽, Gjorgjev N. (A),
63', Rossi K. ↓, Vogt W. ↑,
63', Hegglin I. ↓, Maluvunu E. ↑,
63', Acquah D. 🟨,
65', Muller S. 🟨,
68', Toure Y. ↓, Bahloul S. ↑,
68', Fofana M. ↓, Essiam E. ↑,
71', Da Graca K. 🟨,
73', Jackle O. 🟨,
76', Schlappi B. ↓, Willimann M. ↑,
76', Berhane J. ↓, Bunjaku O. ↑,
76', Wetz N. ↓, Lika B. ↑,
88', Koide H. ↓, Derbaci D. ↑,
88', Fazliu V. ↓, Hasani B. ↑,
90+2', Gjorgjev N. ↓, Filet E. ↑,
90+3', Bahloul S. 🟨,
90+3', Chiappetta C. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Dickenmann M. (Own goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Schaffhausen won 2.

Schaffhausen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Aarau is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Aarau is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Schaffhausen won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 24:35 (average 1.2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Schaffhausen won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:19 (average 1.3:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Schaffhausen
Swiss Challenge League
18.04.25	Étoile Carouge - Schaffhausen	0:2 ✺
11.04.25	Schaffhausen - Lausanne Ouchy	2:3 ✺
04.04.25	Thun - Schaffhausen	3:0 ✺
31.03.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Schaffhausen	6:2 ✺
28.03.25	Schaffhausen - Wil 1900	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLLL
- FC Aarau
Swiss Challenge League
18.04.25	Aarau - Vaduz	2:2 ✺
11.04.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Aarau - Lausanne Ouchy	2:2 ✺
31.03.25	Bellinzona - Aarau	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Aarau - Étoile Carouge	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
01.03.25	Aarau - Schaffhausen	3:0
18.10.24	Schaffhausen - Aarau	0:3
23.09.24	Aarau - Schaffhausen	1:2
06.04.24	Aarau - Schaffhausen	1:2
08.03.24	Schaffhausen - Aarau	1:1
27.10.23	Aarau - Schaffhausen	1:1
25.08.23	Schaffhausen - Aarau	2:2

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