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Current Win Probability
Schalke 04 29.3%
Draw 25.6%
Borussia Mönchengladbach 45.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.5%
25.9%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
25.3%
41.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.6%
13.5%
71.9%
Schalke 04 - Borussia Mönchengladbach Predictions
Users Predictions:
89 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 13 - 14.6%). Borussia M will win (votes: 64 - 71.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 13.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia M: 62.6% – 81.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Schalke has the most likely position - 18 (16.48%), has project points - 34, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Borussia M has the most likely position - 5 (8.8%), has project points - 50, has currently - 3, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (23%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
This event has quality64, importance41, match rating52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Schalke won 1.
Recent matches Schalke is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Borussia M is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Schalke have a series of guest games.
Borussia M will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Schalke: Drexler D.
(Red Card)
Greiml L.
(Injury)
There will not play in Borussia M: Musel T.
(Injury)
Stindl L.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 22 head-to-head matches Schalke won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 23-37.
Including matches at home between the teams Schalke won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.
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