Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 34

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach)

Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Borussia Mönchengladbach		Hoffenheim

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.5	1.65	Watch
	4.7	4.45	1.65	Watch
	4.8	4.85	1.66
	4.46	4.56	1.66	Watch
	4.6	4.33	1.57	Watch
	5.28	4.83	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↑ (3.33)	4.59 ↑ (3.79)	1.64 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Mönchengladbach
20.3%

Draw
20.9%

Hoffenheim
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

25.1%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

24.3%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Borussia Mönchengladbach's form might have worsened.

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hoffenheim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Mönchengladbach, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoffenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.9%	8.9%	82.1%

Borussia Mönchengladbach - Hoffenheim Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Borussia M (3.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Hoffenheim (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hoffenheim will win (45 of 54 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.39% – 93.27%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hoffenheim will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Hoffenheim (votes: 11 - 84.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nicolas M. (G) 16. Sander P. 30. Elvedi N. (C) 4. Diks K. 29. Scally J. 7. Stoger K. 6. Engelhardt Y. 38. Bolin H. 26. Ullrich L. 15. Tabakovic H. 36. Mohya W.	1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 5. Kabak O. 21. Hajdari A. 13. Bernardo 7. Avdullahu L. 18. Burger W. 27. Kramaric A. 11. Asllani F. 29. Toure B. 19. Lemperle T.
Substitutes
2. Chiarodia F. C. 25. Hack R. 9. Honorat F. 11. Kleindienst T. 18. Machino S. 10. Neuhaus F. 23. Olschowsky J. (G) 13. Reyna G. 14. Takai K.	25. Akpoguma K. 20. Campbell C. 10. Damar M. 23. Hlozek A. 2. Hranac R. 33. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G) 22. Prass A. 6. Promel G.
Coaches
Polanski E.	Ilzer C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Bolin H. ⚽, Mohya W. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Tabakovic H. ⚽,
32', Hajdari A. 🟨,
35', Lemperle T. 🟨,
40', Tabakovic H. 🟨,
43', Sander P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lemperle T. 🟨,
55', Kramaric A. ↓, Prass A. ↑,
60', Avdullahu L. 🟨,
66', Mohya W. 🟨,
67', Hajdari A. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
67', Asllani F. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
67', Mohya W. ↓, Honorat F. ↑,
67', Stoger K. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
67', Bolin H. ↓, Hack R. ↑,
69', Prass A. 🟨,
74', Tabakovic H. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
76', Bernardo ↓, Akpoguma K. ↑,
76', Toure B. ↓, Hlozek A. ↑,
79', Kabak O. 🟨,
81', 3 - 0, Diks K. ⚽, Elvedi N. (A),
86', Sander P. ↓, Kleindienst T. ↑,
89', Machino S. 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 0, Hack R. ⚽, Elvedi N. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 2.

In recent matches, Borussia M has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hoffenheim is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Hoffenheim is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Borussia M: Castrop J. (Red Card) Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury) Ngoumou N. (Muscle Injury) Reitz R. (Illness)

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 44:38. (average 2.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia M won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 2.2:1.7).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Hoffenheim: 0.44% B. Monchengladbach: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Hoffenheim	5	1	0	4	9:13	-4	3
18	B. Monchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6:16	-10	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
09.05.26	Augsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Wolfsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Mainz	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTTL
- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
09.05.26	Hoffenheim - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Hoffenheim - Stuttgart	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Hamburger SV - Hoffenheim	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Augsburg - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
14.01.26	Hoffenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:1
03.05.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Hoffenheim	4:4
21.12.24	Hoffenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:2
20.04.24	Hoffenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach	4:3
02.12.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Hoffenheim	2:1
28.01.23	Hoffenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:4
06.08.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Hoffenheim	3:1

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