Match Info

Date: 2 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen)

Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
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Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
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Netherlands	Viaplay
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World	beIN Sports Connect


	Schalke 04		Augsburg

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.8
	2	3.65	3.75
	2.01	3.72	3.91
	1.95	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.99	3.64	3.88	Watch
	2	3.65	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.02)	3.62 ↓ (3.71)	3.81 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
48.5%

Draw
26.4%

Augsburg
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

25.6%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.6%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	24.7%	10.6%

Schalke 04 - Augsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 85 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 55 - 64.7%). Augsburg will win (votes: 9 - 10.6%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 24.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schalke: 54.5% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Schalke has the most likely position - 17 (18.11%), has project points - 34, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Augsburg has the most likely position - 17 (13.38%), has project points - 37, has currently - 9, has a chance of relegated (25%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 59, importance 42, match rating 51. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Schalke won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Schalke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Schalke will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Schalke: Brunner C. (Muscle Injury) Kaminski M. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Augsburg: Dorsch N. (Leg Injury) Oxford R. (Knee Injury) Sarenren Bazee N. J. (Knee Injury) Strobl T. (Knee Injury) Uduokhai F. (Ankle Injury)

Last 21 head-to-head matches Schalke won 9 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 30-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Schalke won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German Bundesliga
17.09.22	Borussia Dortmund - Schalke 04	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Schalke 04 - Bochum	3:1 ✺
03.09.22	Stuttgart - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Schalke 04 - Union Berlin	1:6 ✺
20.08.22	Wolfsburg - Schalke 04	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTLT
- FC Augsburg
Club Friendly
22.09.22	Augsburg - Austria Lustenau	5:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.09.22	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	1:0 ✺
09.09.22	Werder Bremen - Augsburg	0:1 ✺
04.09.22	Augsburg - Hertha Berlin	0:2 ✺
27.08.22	Hoffenheim - Augsburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 42.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.07.22	Schalke 04 - Augsburg	1:1
German Bundesliga
11.04.21	Schalke 04 - Augsburg	1:0
13.12.20	Augsburg - Schalke 04	2:2
24.05.20	Schalke 04 - Augsburg	0:3
03.11.19	Augsburg - Schalke 04	2:3
05.05.19	Schalke 04 - Augsburg	0:0
15.12.18	Augsburg - Schalke 04	1:1

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