Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Schott Mainz		Sonnenhof Großaspach

	1	X	2
	3.5	4.35	1.75
	3.45	4.72	1.75
	3.67	4.1	1.72
	3.45	4.3	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↓ (4.44)	4.37 ↑ (4.33)	1.74 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schott Mainz
26.1%

Draw
21%

Sonnenhof Großaspach
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

21.3%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

20.9%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schott Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Schott Mainz's performance.

Sonnenhof Großaspach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sonnenhof Großaspach might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schott Mainz than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sonnenhof Großaspach than the current prediction. (+4%)

Schott Mainz - Sonnenhof Großaspach Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Großaspach (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Großaspach (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Eisele F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 0 - 2, Pollex N. ⚽,
79', 0 - 3, Kleinschrodt M. ⚽,
85', 1 - 3, Vodi R. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 4, Janes L. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Schott Mainz is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Großaspach has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Großaspach may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Großaspach is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Schott Mainz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Schott Mainz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Schott Mainz
German Regionalliga Sudwest
30.09.25	Homburg - Schott Mainz	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Schott Mainz - Mainz II	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Astoria Walldorf - Schott Mainz	4:1 ✺
13.09.25	Schott Mainz - Hessen Kassel	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Freiburg II - Schott Mainz	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLT
- Sonnenhof Großaspach
German Regionalliga Sudwest
01.10.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Sandhausen	2:3 ✺
27.09.25	Homburg - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Kickers Offenbach	3:3 ✺
06.09.25	Hessen Kassel - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
13.02.22	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Schott Mainz	0:1
04.09.21	Schott Mainz - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:2
17.04.21	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Schott Mainz	1:4
12.01.21	Schott Mainz - Sonnenhof Großaspach	0:3

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