Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 31

Date: 3 February 2023, Friday

Location: Sands Venue Stadium (Scunthorpe)


	Scunthorpe United		Barnet

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.15
	3	3.3	2.05
	3.25	3.35	2.1
	3.05	3.35	2.07
	3.25	3.59	2.18
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	3.18	3.48	2.11
	3.05	3.4	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.97)	3.37 ↓ (3.46)	2.12 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scunthorpe United
29.5%

Draw
27.2%

Barnet
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

26.3%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

25.8%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Scunthorpe United's performance.

Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barnet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Scunthorpe United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barnet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	23.1%	61.5%

Scunthorpe United - Barnet Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Scunthorpe will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Barnet will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnet: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Scunthorpe is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barnet is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Scunthorpe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Barnet will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scunthorpe United
English National League
28.01.23	Scunthorpe United - Bromley	1:1 ✺
25.01.23	Halifax Town - Scunthorpe United	0:1 ✺
14.01.23	Scunthorpe United - Woking	0:2 ✺
07.01.23	Scunthorpe United - Maidenhead United	3:0 ✺
01.01.23	Chesterfield - Scunthorpe United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWLWL
- Barnet
English National League
31.01.23	Eastleigh - Barnet	0:2 ✺
28.01.23	Barnet - Chesterfield	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
14.01.23	Solihull Moors - Barnet	0:2 ✺
English National League
07.01.23	Barnet - Gateshead	1:1 ✺
02.01.23	Boreham Wood - Barnet	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
28.10.22	Barnet - Scunthorpe United	1:1

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