The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barnet 46.6%
Draw 25.9%
Chesterfield 27.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.6%
25.8%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.8%
26.4%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
55.6%
22.2%
Barnet - Chesterfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.
29. Slicker C. (G) 11. Kanu I. 4. Collinge D. (C) 24. Crichlow-Noble R. 5. Senior A. 28. Ofoborh N. 16. Winterburn B. 10. Stead C. 7. Jaiyesimi D. 20. Tshimanga K. 15. Glover R.
1. Hemming Z. (G) 29. Curtis S. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 26. Swinkels S. 46. Pearce T. 36. Braybrooke S. 8. Stirk R. 24. Markanday D. 7. Mandeville L. 11. Duffy D. 10. Bonis L.
Substitutes
27. Assombalonga B. 8. Browne R. 22. Chinedu P. 13. Evans O. (G) 18. Hartigan A. 12. Hawkins O. 17. Howland J.
28. Berry-McNally J. 25. Dickson W. 17. Dobra A. 44. Donacien J. 9. Grigg W. 6. McFadzean K. 4. Naylor T.
Coaches
Brennan D.
Cook P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Duffy D. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
63', Curtis S. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
63', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Ofoborh N. ⚽, Winterburn B. (A),
75', Jaiyesimi D. ↓, Hartigan A. ↑,
75', Mandeville L. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
83', Braybrooke S. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
89', Winterburn B. ↓, Chinedu P. ↑,
90+4', Tshimanga K. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 1.
Recent performances by Barnet have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Chesterfield is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Barnet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Barnet might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Chesterfield: Fleck J.
(Inactive)
Gordon L.
(Injury)
Hobson B.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E.
(Inactive)
Smith K.
(Inactive)
Tavares N.
(Inactive)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:36. (average 1.1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.1:1.8).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Barnet: 21.27% Chesterfield: 9.07%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Barnet
8
5
3
0
20:11
9
18
7
Chesterfield
10
4
3
3
17:14
3
15
Last Results with these Odds
Barnet - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.61%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Slicker C. (G) 
Kanu I. 
Collinge D. (C) 
Ofoborh N. 
Curtis S. 
Dunkley C. (C) 
Swinkels S. 
Stirk R. 
Bonis L. 
Assombalonga B. 
Browne R. 
Dobra A. 
Donacien J. 
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