Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 25

Date: 1 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Silverlake Stadium (Eastleigh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Eastleigh		Barnet

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.7
	3.8	3.7	1.7
	4.5	3.75	1.72	Watch
	3.87	3.88	1.8
	4.4	3.88	1.72	Watch
	4	3.7	1.75
	4.16	3.9	1.71
	4.5	3.75	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (3.81)	3.77 ↑ (3.73)	1.73 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastleigh
21.9%

Draw
24.5%

Barnet
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

24.8%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

24%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	7.7%	46.2%

Eastleigh - Barnet Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Eastleigh will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Barnet will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eastleigh: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McDonnell J. (G) 21. Boutin N. 2. Brindley R. 6. Francillette L. 15. Gape D. 4. Humphries L. 31. Maher N. 9. McCallum P. 10. Shade T. 8. Taylor J. (C) 18. Waruih A.	1. Hayes N. (G) 17. Brunt Z. 21. Clifford B. 3. Coker B. 4. Collinge D. 15. Glover R. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 26. Kenlock M. 22. Oluwo A. 10. Stead C. 25. Tavares N.
Substitutes
5. Fernandez L. 14. Hodson L. 7. Maguire C. 13. Scott T. (G) 23. Semenyo J. 17. Stepien-Iwumene A. 30. Underhill C.	40. Bellagambi G. (G) 8. Browne R. 32. Cropper J. 23. Grimwood J. 9. Kabamba N. 11. Kanu I. 19. Shelton M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Shade T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', McDonnell J. 🟨,
60', Brunt Z. ↓, Kabamba N. ↑,
60', Clifford B. ↓, Browne R. ↑,
60', Tavares N. ↓, Shelton M. ↑,
62', Glover R. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Stead C. ⚽,
75', Brindley R. ↓, Maguire C. ↑,
80', Gape D. ↓, Hodson L. ↑,
83', Coker B. ↓, Cropper J. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eastleigh won 0.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently Eastleigh have a series of guest games.

Recently Barnet have a series of home games.

In this match Barnet is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Eastleigh won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 23:26 (average 1.6:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Eastleigh won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:17 (average 1.6:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Barnet - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.04%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastleigh FC
English National League
26.12.24	Yeovil Town - Eastleigh	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	Eastleigh - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Fylde - Eastleigh	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.12.24	Hanwell Town - Eastleigh	1:2 ✺
English National League
27.11.24	Ebbsfleet United - Eastleigh	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWTWW
- Barnet
English National League
26.12.24	Barnet - Sutton United	3:3 ✺
21.12.24	Barnet - Halifax Town	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Barnet - Ebbsfleet United	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Barnet - Aveley	2:0 ✺
English National League
30.11.24	Hartlepool United - Barnet	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
19.03.24	Barnet - Eastleigh	2:1
15.08.23	Eastleigh - Barnet	3:3
31.01.23	Eastleigh - Barnet	0:2
29.08.22	Barnet - Eastleigh	3:1
23.04.22	Eastleigh - Barnet	2:3
11.09.21	Barnet - Eastleigh	1:1
15.05.21	Eastleigh - Barnet	3:0

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