Match Info

National League North - Round 26

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Mounting Systems Stadium (Bridlington)


	Scarborough Athletic		Chester

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.3
	2.72	3.25	2.38
	2.71	3.47	2.43	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.4
	2.8	3.42	2.38
	2.8	3.2	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.49)	3.29 ↑ (3.24)	2.38 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scarborough Athletic
33.4%

Draw
27.9%

Chester
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.8%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

27.1%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scarborough Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Scarborough Athletic - Chester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Weledji K. ⚽,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Scarborough won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Scarborough won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.5:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Scarborough won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).

Outrights of English National League North for now

Chester: 10.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chester	10	5	2	3	13:9	4	17
14	Scarborough	10	3	3	4	15:12	3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Chester - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
03.01.26	Southport - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
30.12.25	Spennymoor Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Scarborough Athletic - Darlington	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Peterborough Sports - Scarborough Athletic	0:4 ✺
16.12.25	Scarborough Athletic - Radcliffe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTLWL
- Chester City
English National League North
03.01.26	Chester - Worksop Town	0:1 ✺
30.12.25	Chester - Macclesfield Town	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	AFC Telford United - Chester	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Chester - South Shields	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	King`s Lynn Town - Chester	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
06.09.25	Chester - Scarborough Athletic	1:1
25.01.25	Scarborough Athletic - Chester	2:4
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Scarborough Athletic - Chester	3:1
English National League North
26.08.24	Chester - Scarborough Athletic	3:2
10.02.24	Chester - Scarborough Athletic	3:0
26.08.23	Scarborough Athletic - Chester	1:0
18.03.23	Chester - Scarborough Athletic	2:2

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