The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Seattle Reign 37.6%
Draw 26.8%
North Carolina Courage 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
26.3%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
26.8%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seattle Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
North Carolina Courage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Reign than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina Courage than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Seattle Reign - North Carolina Courage Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dickey C. (G) 22. Brown R. 21. McClernon P. 23. Bugg J. 11. Huerta S. 16. McCammon A. 20. Meza S. 2. Mercado M. 10. Fishlock J. (C) 5. Dahlien M. 19. Fishel M.
1. Sheridan K. (G) 13. Williams R. 4. Jacobs N. (C) 18. Shiragaki U. 11. Rauch F. 16. Jackson R. 20. Koyama S. 19. Parkinson E. 23. Paul G. 10. Ijeh E. 2. Sanchez A.
Substitutes
7. Adames E. 24. Curry M. 8. James-Turner A. 14. Mason E. 17. Menti S. 38. Miller C. (G) 30. Mondesir N. 13. Ratcliffe B. 12. Ward H.
33. Betfort H. 21. Bia 26. Boe Risa V. 5. Brooks C. 8. Okafor C. 12. Staude N. 17. Weatherholt D. 99. White M. (G) 14. Wickenheiser C.
Coaches
Harvey L.
Lind M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', McCammon A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Paul G. ⚽,
61', Fishel M. ↓, Mondesir N. ↑,
62', Brown R. ↓, Curry M. ↑,
66', Ijeh E. ↓, Betfort H. ↑,
71', McCammon A. ↓, Menti S. ↑,
73', Parkinson E. 🟨,
77', Paul G. ↓, Bia ↑,
77', Parkinson E. ↓, Wickenheiser C. ↑,
78', Mondesir N. 🟨,
79', Dahlien M. ↓, Ratcliffe B. ↑,
79', Fishlock J. ↓, Adames E. ↑,
80', Wickenheiser C. 🟨,
90+7', Jackson R. ↓, Staude N. ↑,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th in the Promotion - NWSL Women Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle Reign won 3.
Seattle Reign has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
North Carolina is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, North Carolina has had a run of games away from home.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Seattle Reign has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:28 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Seattle Reign against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:10 goals (averaging 1.2:1.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
North Carolina Courage W
27
13
3
11
50:39
11
42
9
Seattle Reign W
27
12
4
11
33:32
1
40
Last Results with these Odds
North Carolina Courage - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.43%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.