The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Seattle Sounders 68.7%
Draw 18.2%
CF Montréal 13.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.1%
22.4%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61%
21.7%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Seattle Sounders's performance.
CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CF Montréal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Seattle Sounders that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
10%
0%
Seattle Sounders - CF Montréal Predictions
Users Predictions:
Seattle Sounders will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Thomas A. (G) 16. Roldan A. 28. Gomez Andrade Y. 4. Sailor R. 5. Nouhou 7. Roldan C. (C) 31. Dotson H. 8. Clark C. 11. Rusnak A. 13. Morris J. 9. Joveljic D.
1. Breza S. (G) 2. Neal J. 24. Morales E. 5. Craig B. 28. Radojevic V. 6. Piette S. (C) 22. Loturi V. 18. Synchuk G. 21. Herbers F. 23. Streit N. 10. Sanchez A.
Substitutes
17. Arriola P. 37. Brunell S. 27. Ferreira J. 24. Frei S. (G) 90. Gomez S. 45. Kingston P. 85. Kossa-Rienzi K. 35. Lopez A. 19. Musovski D.
27. Bugaj D. 16. Carmona W. 29. Escobar O. 41. Keita S. (G) 8. Longstaff M. 7. Pereira D. 13. Petrasso L. 14. Rios D.
Coaches
Schmetzer B.
Eullaffroy P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Synchuk G. ⚽, Streit N. (A),
14', Dotson H. 🟨,
33', Sanchez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Roldan A. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
46', Clark C. ↓, Kossa-Rienzi K. ↑,
52', Loturi V. 🟨,
64', Neal J. ↓, Bugaj D. ↑,
64', Sailor R. ↓, Brunell S. ↑,
64', Rusnak A. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Gomez S. ⚽,
79', Streit N. ↓, Carmona W. ↑,
79', Loturi V. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
87', Piette S. ↓, Longstaff M. ↑,
87', Herbers F. ↓, Escobar O. ↑,
87', Dotson H. ↓, Arriola P. ↑,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 7th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 1.
Seattle has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Montreal has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Montreal has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Seattle holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Confirmed absences for Seattle: Petkovic N.
(Knee Injury)
Rothrock P.
(Hamstring Injury)
de La Vega P.
(Calf Injury).
Confirmed absences for Montreal: Ceballos B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Gillier T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Hidalgo B.
(Groin Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Seattle in today's match, at odds of 1.37.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Seattle has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:9 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Seattle against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:4 goals (averaging 1.4:0.8 per game).
Outrights of MLS for now
Seattle Sounders: 2%
Last Results with these Odds
Seattle Sounders - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 59.1%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.
CF Montréal - the odds 5.1 are the expected chance of winning is 18.54%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Thomas A. (G) 
Roldan A. 
Gomez Andrade Y. 
Nouhou 
Rusnak A. 
Joveljic D. 
Breza S. (G) 
Morales E. 
Synchuk G. 
Herbers F. 
Streit N. 
Sanchez A. 
Musovski D. 
Bugaj D. 
Carmona W. 
Escobar O. 
Longstaff M. 
Rios D. 
Eullaffroy P. 
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