Match Info

MLS

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Bank of America Stadium (Charlotte, NC)

Referee: Montero R. (Cos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video
China	QQ Sports
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Charlotte		CF Montréal

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.5	5.25	Watch
	1.55	4.7	5.4
	1.56	4.77	5.3
	1.47	4.73	5.83	Watch
	1.57	4.56	5.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.49)	4.65 ↑ (4.64)	5.44 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte
62.1%

Draw
20.4%

CF Montréal
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

20.3%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

19.1%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Charlotte - CF Montréal Predictions

Users Predictions: Charlotte will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kahlina K. (G) 2. Marshall-Rutty J. 29. Malanda A. 3. Ream T. 14. Byrne N. 13. Bronico B. 28. Diani D. 8. Westwood A. 18. Calderon Vargas K. A. 17. Toklomati I. 10. Zaha W.	31. Gillier T. (G) 19. Hidalgo B. 5. Craig B. 2. Neal J. 39. Guboglo Y. 22. Loturi V. 29. Escobar O. 8. Longstaff M. 25. Sealy D. 9. Owusu P. 21. Herbers F.
Substitutes
11. Abada L. 22. Bingham D. (G) 7. Goodwin A. 23. Petkovic N. 4. Privett A. 35. Scardina N. 25. Smalls T. 6. Tuiloma B. 19. Williamson E.	4. Alvarez F. 27. Bugaj D. 10. Duke B. 35. Graham-Roache O. 11. Ivan Jaime 7. Opoku K. 13. Petrasso L. 6. Piette S. 40. Sirois J. (G)
Coaches
Smith D.	Donadel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Zaha W. ⚽,
20', Malanda A. 🟥,
22', Diani D. ↓, Privett A. ↑,
41', 1 - 1, Sealy D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Guboglo Y. ↓, Petrasso L. ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Herbers F. ⚽, Petrasso L. (A),
60', Herbers F. ↓, Ivan Jaime ↑,
60', Escobar O. ↓, Piette S. ↑,
66', Marshall-Rutty J. ↓, Tuiloma B. ↑,
66', Calderon Vargas K. A. ↓, Abada L. ↑,
71', Westwood A. 🟨,
73', Toklomati I. 🟨,
80', Hidalgo B. 🟨,
83', Bronico B. 🟨,
84', Hidalgo B. ↓, Bugaj D. ↑,
86', 1 - 3, Sealy D. ⚽,
87', Toklomati I. ↓, Goodwin A. ↑,
87', Bronico B. ↓, Petkovic N. ↑,
90', 1 - 4, Owusu P. ⚽,
90+1', Longstaff M. ↓, Duke B. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).

Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Charlotte is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Montreal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.

In this match, Charlotte is the team to beat.

There will not play in Charlotte: Toffolo H. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Montreal: Vrioni G. (Muscle Injury)

We predict that Charlotte will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte FC
MLS
20.09.25	New York City - Charlotte	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Charlotte - Inter Miami	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	New England Revolution - Charlotte	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Charlotte - New York Red Bulls	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Charlotte - Real Salt Lake	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWW
- CF Montréal
MLS
20.09.25	CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	CF Montréal - St. Louis City	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Toronto FC - CF Montréal	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	CF Montréal - Austin FC	3:2 ✺
16.08.25	CF Montréal - DC United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
12.04.25	CF Montréal - Charlotte	0:1
05.10.24	Charlotte - CF Montréal	2:0
14.09.24	CF Montréal - Charlotte	2:1
15.07.23	CF Montréal - Charlotte	2:0
24.06.23	Charlotte - CF Montréal	0:0

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