The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto FC 48.2%
Draw 24.9%
CF Montréal 26.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47%
24.1%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
23.8%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Toronto FC - CF Montréal Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gavran L. (G) 22. Laryea R. 15. Gomis N. 13. Kuscevic B. 3. Matheus Pereira 6. Dorsch N. 20. Salloi D. 14. Coello A. 7. Corbeanu T. 9. Sargent J. 21. Osorio J. (C)
1. Breza S. (G) 2. Neal J. 5. Craig B. 4. Vera B. 27. Bugaj D. 22. Loturi V. 8. Longstaff M. 13. Petrasso L. 14. Rios D. 10. Sanchez A. 9. Owusu P. (C)
Substitutes
17. Aristizabal E. 96. Chukwu R. 11. Etienne D. 38. Gilman J. 10. Mihailovic D. 12. Monlouis Z. 90. Morgan L. 27. Piedrahita A. 23. Yarbrough W. (G)
16. Carmona W. 21. Herbers F. 41. Keita S. (G) 24. Morales E. 7. Pereira D. 6. Piette S. 28. Radojevic V. 23. Streit N. 18. Synchuk G.
Coaches
Fraser R.
Eullaffroy P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Gavran L. ↓, Yarbrough W. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Rios D. ⚽,
55', Vera B. 🟨,
61', Osorio J. ↓, Mihailovic D. ↑,
72', Sanchez A. ↓, Herbers F. ↑,
72', Loturi V. ↓, Piette S. ↑,
82', Coello A. ↓, Morgan L. ↑,
84', Craig B. 🟨,
86', Rios D. ↓, Carmona W. ↑,
86', Craig B. ↓, Morales E. ↑,
87', Petrasso L. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Morgan L. ⚽, Dorsch N. (A),
90+5', 2 - 1, Mihailovic D. ⚽, Corbeanu T. (A),
90+6', Laryea R. 🟨,
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 13th and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Toronto (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Montreal has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Montreal has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Toronto holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Toronto: Palacio N.
(Lower-Body Injury).
Confirmed absences for Montreal: Hidalgo B.
(Groin Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Toronto: Mihailovic D.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Montreal: Ceballos B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sealy D.
(Inactive)
Vera B.
(Lower-Body Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Toronto has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:32 (averaging 1.8:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Toronto against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 19:16 goals (averaging 2.1:1.8 per game).
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Gavran L. (G) 
Gomis N. 
Kuscevic B. 
Matheus Pereira 
Dorsch N. 
Salloi D. 
Coello A. 
Sargent J. 
Vera B. 
Bugaj D. 
Longstaff M. 
Rios D. 
Owusu P. (C) 
Etienne D. 
Morgan L. 
Carmona W. 
Morales E. 
Radojevic V. 
Streit N. 
Synchuk G. 
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