Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 2

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Lumen Field (Seattle, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN 2
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
World	Apple TV


	Seattle Sounders		Santos Laguna

	1	X	2
	1.27	6.25	8.5	Watch
	1.36	4.8	6
	1.28	5.9	8.2	Watch
	1.37	5.31	7.64
	1.39	5.32	6.44	Watch
	1.29	5.8	8.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.6)	5.56 ↑ (4)	7.6 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Sounders
70.8%

Draw
16.9%

Santos Laguna
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

22.9%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

21.9%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Seattle Sounders's performance.

Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santos Laguna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Seattle Sounders that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos Laguna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Seattle Sounders - Santos Laguna Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Seattle (1.55) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Santos Laguna (3.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Santos Laguna (3.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Santos Laguna (2.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Santos Laguna (5.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Seattle Sounders will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Santos Laguna (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Thomas A. (G) 16. Roldan A. 25. Ragen J. 20. Kim Kee-Hee 5. Nouhou 75. Leyva D. 18. Vargas O. 14. Rothrock P. 11. Rusnak A. 10. de La Vega P. 19. Musovski D.	33. Holguin H. (G) 19. Ortega H. 35. Balanta K. 4. Abella J. 17. Echeverria E. 6. Guemez J. 5. Lopez A. 23. Gutierrez E. 9. Carrillo J. 21. Villalba F. 99. Barticciotto B.
Substitutes
21. Baker-Whiting R. 15. Bell J. 37. Brunell S. 29. Castro J. (G) 95. De Rosario O. 9. Ferreira J. 28. Gomez Andrade Y. 77. Kent R. 85. Kossa-Rienzi K. 93. Minoungou G. 7. Roldan C. 41. Shour M. (G)	2. Amione B. 7. Dajome C. 10. Fagundez F. 3. Govea I. 11. Lozano C. 8. Mariscal Murra S. 24. Medina D. 13. Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 20. Palacios K. 22. Prieto R. 186. Sanchez D. (G)
Coaches
Schmetzer B.	Rodriguez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Ortega H. (Own goal),
20', Ortega H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Abella J. ↓, Palacios K. ↑,
60', Carrillo J. ↓, Dajome C. ↑,
63', de La Vega P. ↓, Minoungou G. ↑,
63', Rothrock P. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
64', Musovski D. ↓, De Rosario O. ↑,
66', Minoungou G. 🟨,
72', 2 - 0, Minoungou G. ⚽, Leyva D. (A),
74', Minoungou G. 🟨,
76', Lopez A. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
77', Barticciotto B. ↓, Lozano C. ↑,
78', Rusnak A. ↓, Roldan C. ↑,
79', Gutierrez E. ↓, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↑,
82', Lozano C. 🟨,
88', Palacios K. 🟨,
90', Leyva D. ↓, Kossa-Rienzi K. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 1, Dajome C. ⚽, Villalba F. (A),

Preview

Seattle is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Santos Laguna has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Seattle is the clear favorite.

We predict that Seattle will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.4:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Sounders FC
CONCACAF League Cup
31.07.25	Cruz Azul - Seattle Sounders	0:7 ✺
MLS
26.07.25	Atlanta United - Seattle Sounders	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	Seattle Sounders - San Jose Earthquakes	3:2 ✺
16.07.25	Seattle Sounders - Colorado Rapids	3:3 ✺
12.07.25	Sporting Kansas City - Seattle Sounders	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWTW
- Santos Laguna
CONCACAF League Cup
31.07.25	Colorado Rapids - Santos Laguna	2:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
25.07.25	Puebla - Santos Laguna	1:0 ✺
16.07.25	Santos Laguna - Toluca	2:4 ✺
12.07.25	Santos Laguna - UNAM	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.06.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Santos Laguna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF League Cup
14.09.21	Seattle Sounders - Santos Laguna	1:0
CONCACAF Champions Cup
09.04.13	Santos Laguna - Seattle Sounders	1:1
02.04.13	Seattle Sounders - Santos Laguna	0:1
14.03.12	Santos Laguna - Seattle Sounders	N/A

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