Match Info

ISRAEL: Leumit League - Relegation Group - Round 36

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Location: Ness Ziona Stadium (Ness Ziona)


	Sektzia Nes Tziona		Hapoel Afula

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.5
	2.4	3.3	2.65
	2.37	3.25	2.74
	2.37	3.14	2.74
	2.4	3.36	2.73
	2.38	3.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.1)	3.25 (3.25)	2.68 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sektzia Nes Tziona
38.1%

Draw
28%

Hapoel Afula
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

27.8%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

29.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sektzia Nes Tziona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Hapoel Afula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sektzia Nes Tziona than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sektzia Nes Tziona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Afula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Afula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Prada L. ⚽,
75', 🟥,
76', 0 - 2, Rivollier F. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sektzia Nes Tziona won 4.

Recent matches Sektzia Nes Tziona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hapoel Afula in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sektzia Nes Tziona will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sektzia Nes Tziona won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sektzia Nes Tziona won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sektzia Nes Tziona
Israeli Liga Leumit
10.05.24	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Sektzia Nes Tziona	1:1 ✺
07.05.24	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:2 ✺
03.05.24	Kafr Qasim - Sektzia Nes Tziona	0:1 ✺
26.04.24	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Ihud Bnei Shfaram	2:2 ✺
19.04.24	Hapoel Acre - Sektzia Nes Tziona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWTT
- Hapoel Afula FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
10.05.24	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Afula	0:1 ✺
07.05.24	Hapoel Afula - Ihud Bnei Shfaram	3:0 ✺
03.05.24	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Afula	0:1 ✺
26.04.24	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Afula	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
01.03.24	Hapoel Afula - Sektzia Nes Tziona	1:2
24.11.23	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Afula	2:2
11.03.22	Hapoel Afula - Sektzia Nes Tziona	1:4
07.12.21	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Afula	4:0
22.03.21	Hapoel Afula - Sektzia Nes Tziona	0:2
01.12.20	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Afula	1:0
10.05.19	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Afula	2:0

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