Match Info

Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Senglea Athletic		Żebbuġ Rangers

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.82
	2.21	3.75	2.65	Watch
	2.22	3.97	2.59	Watch
	2.2	3.74	2.58
	2.21	3.75	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (3.65)	3.74 ↑ (3.59)	2.46 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Senglea Athletic
37.5%

Draw
24.8%

Żebbuġ Rangers
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

25.4%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

24.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Senglea Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Senglea Athletic's performance.

Żebbuġ Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Żebbuġ Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Senglea Athletic than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Senglea Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żebbuġ Rangers than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Żebbuġ Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Senglea Athletic - Żebbuġ Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Senglea will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Mintoff S. (G) 28. Bonello K. 7. Cassar Jeffries R. 22. Cini A. (C) 8. Douglas Lukaku 6. Fenech T. 17. McKay L. 11. Nakov A. 25. Ngom M. L. 99. Tweneboa B. 19. Vella E.	14. Agius L. 10. Bezzina J. 6. Cassar L. 7. Diaz C. 22. Gaetano J. 16. Mendes Fernandes F. J. G. 3. Mifsud G. 8. Mizzi A. (C) 9. Mosquera D. 18. Sciberras O. 12. Scicluna J.
Substitutes
3. Buttigieg N. 10. Cutajar R. 81. Farrugia I. 4. Gatt M. 1. Grech J. (G) 20. Sammut P. P. 21. Traore D. 18. Vella K.	19. Adeyemi S. 20. Attard A. 1. Azzopardi J. (G) 11. Buttigieg S. 5. Carbone J. 17. Carbone J. 4. Saliba D. 15. Tanti G. 21. Zammit K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Agius L. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Douglas Lukaku ⚽,
37', Mizzi A. 🟨,
44', Fenech T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Cassar L. 🟨,
67', Ngom M. L. 🟨,
72', 1 - 2, Mosquera D. ⚽,
73', Mosquera D. 🟨,
76', McKay L. ↓, Vella K. ↑,
77', Fenech T. ↓, Cutajar R. ↑,
79', Diaz C. ↓, Carbone J. ↑,
84', Agius L. ↓, Adeyemi S. ↑,
86', Sciberras O. 🟨,
90+1', Bezzina J. 🟨,
90+5', Sciberras O. ↓, Attard A. ↑,
90+6', Mendes Fernandes F. J. G. 🟨,

Preview

Senglea is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Żebbuġ has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Żebbuġ is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Senglea won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Senglea won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Senglea Athletic
Maltese Challenge Cup
12.03.25	Valletta - Senglea Athletic	1:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
09.03.25	Fgura United - Senglea Athletic	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Senglea Athletic - Gudja United	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	St. Andrews - Senglea Athletic	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Senglea Athletic - Mtarfa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTLW
- Żebbuġ Rangers
Maltese Challenge League
08.03.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mtarfa	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Fgura United - Żebbuġ Rangers	5:1 ✺
Maltese Challenge Cup
27.02.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Santa Lucia	2:3 penalties ✺
Maltese Challenge League
23.02.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Sirens	1:3 ✺
16.02.25	Gudja United - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
15.09.24	Senglea Athletic - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:1
10.12.23	Żebbuġ Rangers - Senglea Athletic	0:2
11.02.22	Żebbuġ Rangers - Senglea Athletic	4:1
23.10.21	Senglea Athletic - Żebbuġ Rangers	0:3

Senglea Athletic - Żebbuġ Rangers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide