Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Fgura United		Senglea Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.4	6.75
	1.6	4.1	4.3	Watch
	1.6	4.26	4.25
	1.64	4.5	3.9	Watch
	1.64	4.2	4.01
	1.6	4.1	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.37)	4.26 ↓ (4.4)	4.59 ↓ (7.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fgura United
58.4%

Draw
21.6%

Senglea Athletic
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

20.7%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

19.9%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fgura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fgura United's form might have worsened.

Senglea Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Senglea Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fgura United than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fgura United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Senglea Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Senglea Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fgura United - Senglea Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cini Y. (G) 16. Akande T. 12. Brincat M. 7. Caruana D. (C) 21. Formosa K. 22. Gambin M. 28. Gatt M. 33. Marshall A. N. 23. Quintero D. 10. Rahman A. 45. Tabone M.	13. Mintoff S. (G) 9. Attram G. T. 22. Cini A. 10. Cutajar R. 6. Fenech T. 17. McKay L. 30. Meilak S. (C) 25. Ngom M. L. 7. Rudy Cassar J. 20. Sammut P. P. 99. Tweneboa B.
Substitutes
4. Abdelghani H. 13. Desira G. 25. Formosa R. 9. John I. 11. Micallef I. 3. Pisani L. 15. Tabone R. 14. Vella R. (G) 77. Zammit M.	28. Bonello K. 3. Buttigieg N. 8. Douglas Lukaku 4. Gatt M. 1. Grech J. (G) 19. Vella E. 18. Vella K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Gatt M. ⚽,
37', Meilak S. 🟨,
41', Attram G. T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Akande T. ↓, John I. ↑,
46', Sammut P. P. ↓, Vella E. ↑,
55', Attram G. T. 🟨,
61', Cutajar R. ↓, Douglas Lukaku ↑,
62', Quintero D. ↓, Micallef I. ↑,
64', Caruana D. 🟨,
66', 2 - 0, John I. ⚽,
69', Gatt M. ↓, Pisani L. ↑,
71', Douglas Lukaku 🟨,
77', Ngom M. L. ↓, Buttigieg N. ↑,
83', Rahman A. 🟨,
85', Brincat M. 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Fgura is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Senglea is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fgura could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Senglea have a series of home games.

In this match Fgura is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fgura won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:7 (average 2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Fgura won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fgura United
Maltese Challenge League
02.03.25	Fgura United - Żebbuġ Rangers	5:1 ✺
22.02.25	Gudja United - Fgura United	2:3 ✺
16.02.25	Fgura United - St. Andrews	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Sirens - Fgura United	1:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.02.25	Fgura United - Birkirkara	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWL
- Senglea Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
01.03.25	Senglea Athletic - Gudja United	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	St. Andrews - Senglea Athletic	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Senglea Athletic - Mtarfa	3:2 ✺
08.02.25	Senglea Athletic - Santa Lucia	1:3 ✺
02.02.25	Senglea Athletic - Żurrieq	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
14.12.24	Fgura United - Senglea Athletic	0:0
07.01.24	Senglea Athletic - Fgura United	3:3
04.04.22	Senglea Athletic - Fgura United	2:3
11.12.21	Fgura United - Senglea Athletic	2:2

Fgura United - Senglea Athletic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide