Match Info

K League 1 - Round 32

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Gwangju Football Stadium (Gwangju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	M Plus Live
South-korea	Coupang Play, Sky Sports Korea
World	K League TV, Onefootball


	Gwangju		Daegu

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	4	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.9
	1.88	3.4	3.75
	1.96	3.59	4.18
	3.51	3.69	1.94	Watch
				Watch
	1.96	3.6	3.78	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.89)	3.54 ↓ (3.79)	3.63 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwangju
45.5%

Draw
27.6%

Daegu
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

25.1%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

24.5%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Daegu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gwangju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daegu than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Gwangju - Daegu Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gwangju will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Kyung-Min (G) 2. Cho Sung-Gwon 5. Byeon Jun-Soo 20. Jin Si-woo 94. Sim Sang-Min 16. Jeong J. 10. Choi Kyoung-Rok 8. Lee K. (C) 77. Oh Hoo-Sung 17. Reis 88. Moon Min-seo	31. Han Tae-Hui (G) 2. Hwang Jae-Won 55. Woo Ju-Seong 4. Caio Marcelo 27. Jeong Heon-taek 18. Jeong Jae-sang 10. Bruno Lamas 44. Kim Jung-Hyeon 32. Jeong Chi-In 77. Kim Ju-Gong 11. Cesinha (C)
Substitutes
6. Ahn Young-Kyu 11. Fridjonsson H. 70. Ha Seung-Un 80. Ju Se-Jong 31. Kim Dong-Hwa (G) 27. Kwon Sung-Yun 3. Lee Min-Ki 18. Park In-Hyeok 14. Yu Je-Ho	88. Carlos Jatoba 9. Edgar 6. Hong Jung-Woon 45. Kim Hyeon-jun 38. Lee Rim 74. Lee Yong-Rae 19. Park Dae-Hoon 51. Park M. (G) 5. Reis G.
Coaches
Lee Jung-Hyo	Kim Byung-Soo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', Jin Si-woo 🟨,
5', 0 - 1, Cesinha (Pen),
31', Moon Min-seo ↓, Yu Je-Ho ↑,
37', 0 - 2, Jeong Jae-sang ⚽, Cesinha (A),
41', 1 - 2, Reis (Pen),
45', Jeong Jae-sang ↓, Hong Jung-Woon ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jeong J. ↓, Park In-Hyeok ↑,
46', Kim Ju-Gong ↓, Park Dae-Hoon ↑,
51', 2 - 2, Oh Hoo-Sung (Pen),
67', Hong Jung-Woon ↓, Edgar ↑,
67', Bruno Lamas ↓, Kim Hyeon-jun ↑,
70', Jin Si-woo 🟨,
76', Jeong Chi-In ↓, Reis G. ↑,
82', Choi Kyoung-Rok ↓, Ahn Young-Kyu ↑,
82', Lee K. ↓, Ha Seung-Un ↑,
86', Jeong Heon-taek 🟨,
87', Edgar 🟨,
90+1', Sim Sang-Min ↓, Lee Min-Ki ↑,
90+6', 2 - 3, Cesinha (Pen),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 2.

Gwangju is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Daegu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Gwangju has had a series of away games.

In this match, Gwangju is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:32. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gwangju won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
28.09.25	Anyang - Gwangju	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	FC Seoul - Gwangju	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Suwon - Gwangju	2:4 ✺
30.08.25	Jeju - Gwangju	0:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
27.08.25	Bucheon - Gwangju	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLWWW
- Daegu FC
South Korean K-League 1
27.09.25	Daegu - Ulsan HD	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Daejeon Citizen - Daegu	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Daegu - Suwon	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Daegu - Jeju	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
01.06.25	Daegu - Gwangju	1:1
09.04.25	Gwangju - Daegu	2:1
18.10.24	Gwangju - Daegu	1:1
21.07.24	Daegu - Gwangju	0:1
11.05.24	Daegu - Gwangju	3:2
31.03.24	Gwangju - Daegu	1:2
11.11.23	Daegu - Gwangju	1:1

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