Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 16

Date: 7 November 2023, Tuesday


	Spartak Varna		Ludogorets II

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.75	9.5	Watch
	1.28	4.75	8.43
	1.27	4.75	8.43
	1.26	4.95	9.4	Watch
	1.35	4.4	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.45)	4.72 ↑ (4)	8.67 ↑ (6.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Varna
70.4%

Draw
19.2%

Ludogorets II
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

22.6%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

21.5%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Varna's performance.

Ludogorets II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets II than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Spartak Varna - Ludogorets II Predictions

Users Predictions: Spartak Varna will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Georgiev G. (G) 29. Ahmedov A. 2. Boev V. 44. Granchov A. 18. Hyusein H. 13. Ivanov G. 9. Mehmed M. 11. Mitev V. (C) 75. N'Zi J. 6. Tsvetkov A. 81. Zehirov A.	69. Pepelyashev P. (G) 75. Georgiev P. 53. Gospodinov D. 58. Iliev D. 74. Kelyovluev H. 34. Kostadinov B. 18. Nascimento R. 15. Pedro Henrique 63. Pemperski A. 50. Petrov T. (C) 80. Stefanov M.
Substitutes
78. Angelov A. 5. Baurenski Y. 7. Iliev E. 88. Ivanov S. 45. Nachev D. 3. Petrov P. 10. Rumenov R. 8. Vasev B. 89. Videnov N. (G)	76. Dimitrov K. 68. Habil U. (G) 70. Iliev D. 62. Ivanov D. 72. Ivanov R. 45. Karaangelov P. 59. Lukanov A. 35. Nikolov N. 93. Yordanov Y.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga and 12).

Spartak Varna in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ludogorets II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ludogorets II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Spartak Varna is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Spartak Varna to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Spartak Varna won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Spartak Varna won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Cup
01.11.23	Spartak Varna - Krumovgrad	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
25.10.23	Lovech - Spartak Varna	1:2 ✺
20.10.23	Spartak Varna - Chernomorets Balchik	4:0 ✺
09.10.23	Montana - Spartak Varna	1:1 ✺
02.10.23	Spartak Varna - Strumska Slava Radomir	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWTW
- Ludogorets II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.10.23	Ludogorets II - Belasitsa Petrich	4:1 ✺
21.10.23	Bdin Vidin - Ludogorets II	0:2 ✺
28.09.23	Ludogorets II - Sportist Svoge	3:1 ✺
23.09.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Ludogorets II	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Ludogorets II - Spartak Pleven	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
02.04.22	Spartak Varna - Ludogorets II	0:1
18.09.21	Ludogorets II - Spartak Varna	2:1
02.03.20	Ludogorets II - Spartak Varna	1:0
12.08.19	Spartak Varna - Ludogorets II	0:2

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