Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 32

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Dragalevtsi (Sofia)


	Septemvri Sofia		Strumska Slava Radomir

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.75	9.5
	1.28	4.82	8.71
	1.39	4.21	8.1	Watch
	1.27	4.8	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.37)	4.65 ↑ (4.59)	9.08 ↑ (7.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Septemvri Sofia
70.2%

Draw
19.7%

Strumska Slava Radomir
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

18.3%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Strumska Slava Radomir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Septemvri Sofia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strumska Slava Radomir than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Septemvri Sofia - Strumska Slava Radomir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Sheytanov D. (G) 15. Dinkov G. 5. Georgiev A. (C) 22. Kerkez S. 24. Marinov B. 11. Mihaylov I. 6. Ochayi V. 18. Onasci K. 7. Stojanov M. 9. Toshev M. 13. Yordanov Y.	12. Petkov D. (G) 77. Dilchovski M. 33. Georgiev S. 7. Iliev E. 5. Kostov M. 10. Laskov A. 22. Mitsakov D. 2. Nikolov B. (C) 3. Sandev R. 9. Vachev T. 8. Yanev G.
Substitutes
12. Andreev A. (G) 4. Arsov I. 14. Da Sylva J. 20. Drosev N. G. 23. Gavrilov Y. 17. Georgiev P. 16. Mihalic J. 3. Polendakov M. 10. Ramadan A.	17. Ademov A. 71. Ivanov M. 18. Kadric A. 99. Rashkov R. (G) 19. Stoilov M. 4. Stoychev L. 11. Todorov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 0 - 1, Vachev T. ⚽,
55', 0 - 2, Laskov A. ⚽,
63', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Septemvri Sofia won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Septemvri Sofia is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Septemvri Sofia won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Septemvri Sofia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
03.05.24	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Septemvri Sofia	0:0 ✺
26.04.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Septemvri Sofia	1:1 ✺
22.04.24	Septemvri Sofia - Dunav Ruse	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Maritsa Plovdiv - Septemvri Sofia	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLWL
- Strumska Slava Radomir
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
02.05.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Dunav Ruse	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	Maritsa Plovdiv - Strumska Slava Radomir	4:1 ✺
20.04.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Spartak Varna	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Bdin Vidin	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Chernomorets Burgas - Strumska Slava Radomir	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.10.23	Strumska Slava Radomir - Septemvri Sofia	0:0
Club Friendly
25.06.23	Septemvri Sofia - Strumska Slava Radomir	2:4
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
01.12.21	Septemvri Sofia - Strumska Slava Radomir	2:0
24.07.21	Strumska Slava Radomir - Septemvri Sofia	1:1
13.02.21	Septemvri Sofia - Strumska Slava Radomir	0:0
08.08.20	Strumska Slava Radomir - Septemvri Sofia	1:1
08.12.19	Strumska Slava Radomir - Septemvri Sofia	0:4

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