Match Info

Serie D - Round 8

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Sergipe		Treze

	1	X	2
	2.19	2.95	3.43
	2.29	2.7	3.57	Watch
	2.15	2.88	3.1
	2.17	2.88	3.42
	2.26	2.86	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.26)	2.85 ↓ (2.86)	3.35 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergipe
41.1%

Draw
31.8%

Treze
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

31.8%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

31.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Treze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treze than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Sergipe - Treze Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Jean Carlo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Sergipe will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sergipe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Sergipe
Brazilian Serie D
16.05.26	Lagarto - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Sergipe - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Retrô Brasil - Sergipe	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Sergipe - Lagarto	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Treze - Sergipe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWWWL
- Treze FC
Brazilian Serie D
16.05.26	Serra Branca - Treze	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Treze - Decisão	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Treze - Serra Branca	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Treze - Sergipe	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Lagarto - Treze	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
19.04.26	Treze - Sergipe	3:1

Sergipe - Treze: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide