Match Info
Serie D - Round 8Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Sergipe |
|
Barcelona de Ilhéus |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.42 |
3.6 |
7.75 |
|
 |
1.62 |
3.3 |
5.3 |
|
 |
1.61 |
3.41 |
5.78 |
Watch |
 |
1.59 |
3.34 |
5.84 |
|
 |
1.62 |
3.3 |
5.3 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.57 ↑ (1.46) |
3.39 ↓ (3.78) |
5.99 ↓ (6.18) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sergipe 57.9% | Draw 26.9% | Barcelona de Ilhéus 15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Barcelona de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sergipe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (-1.2%)Sergipe - Barcelona de Ilhéus Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1 - Barcelona (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Dick ⚽,
- 9', 1 - 1, Matheus Sacramento ⚽,
- 23', 2 - 1, Felipe Para ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 78', 3 - 1, Tinga ⚽,
- 85', 4 - 1, Reny Max ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).Sergipe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Barcelona is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Sergipe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Sergipe is the undisputed favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sergipe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;