Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 25

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Estrela da Amadora B		Serpa

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.5
	1.84	3.4	3.8
	1.85	3.38	4.1
	1.84	3.4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.8)	3.4 ↓ (3.46)	3.8 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora B
49.3%

Draw
26.8%

Serpa
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26.3%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

25.2%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Serpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora B than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Estrela da Amadora B - Serpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, ⚽,
84', 🟥,
90+3', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 6).

Estrela B is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Serpa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Estrela B is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estrela B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
29.03.25	Moura - Estrela da Amadora B	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Estrela da Amadora B - Amora	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Lagoa - Estrela da Amadora B	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Barreirense - Estrela da Amadora B	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Estrela da Amadora B - Sintrense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLTLL
- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
29.03.25	Serpa - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Louletano - Serpa	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Serpa - Comércio e Indústria	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Moncarapachense - Serpa	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Serpa - Estrela Vendas Novas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
15.12.24	Serpa - Estrela da Amadora B	3:2

Estrela da Amadora B - Serpa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide