Match Info

Paulista A3 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday


	Sertãozinho		Atlético Monte Azul

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.95	2.7
	2.55	2.85	2.8
	2.52	3	2.8	Watch
	2.52	2.86	2.75
	2.55	2.85	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.42)	2.9 ↓ (3.03)	2.77 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sertãozinho
36.1%

Draw
31.2%

Atlético Monte Azul
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

29.9%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

31.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sertãozinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Atlético Monte Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Sertãozinho - Atlético Monte Azul Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Wagner Gomes ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Pingo ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
72', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Sertãozinho is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monte Azul in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sertãozinho could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sertãozinho won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:9 (average 1.5:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Sertãozinho won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sertãozinho FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
04.04.25	Marília - Sertãozinho	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Sertãozinho - Marília	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Sertãozinho - Catanduva	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Catanduva - Sertãozinho	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Sertãozinho - Bandeirante	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTWT
- Atlético Monte Azul
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
06.04.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Rio Branco de Americana	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Rio Branco de Americana - Atlético Monte Azul	0:1 ✺
26.03.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Itapirense	3:2 ✺
22.03.25	Itapirense - Atlético Monte Azul	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Lemense FC	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
05.03.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Sertãozinho	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
07.03.21	Atlético Monte Azul - Sertãozinho	3:2
02.02.20	Sertãozinho - Atlético Monte Azul	2:4
Club Friendly
10.01.19	Sertãozinho - Atlético Monte Azul	1:1

Sertãozinho - Atlético Monte Azul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide