Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade de Genève (Geneva)

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
Switzerland	Play RTS, Play RTS, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Servette		Utrecht

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.73	Watch
	2.65	3.6	2.35
	4.15	3.7	1.78
	4.42	3.94	1.78
	1.79	3.86	4.07	Watch
	2.62	3.3	2.38	Watch
	4.58	3.89	1.78	Watch
	2.37	3.4	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.37)	3.66 ↑ (3.4)	2.32 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Servette
29.7%

Draw
27.3%

Utrecht
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

26.9%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

26.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Servette has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Servette's form might have worsened.

Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Utrecht's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Servette than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Servette, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Utrecht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	28%	56%

Servette - Utrecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Servette will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Utrecht will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Servette (votes: 1 - 10%). Utrecht (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Utrecht (4.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Utrecht (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Servette (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Utrecht (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mall J. (G) 2. Srdanovic L. 25. Bronn D. 6. Baron A. 18. Mazikou B. 11. Fomba L. 8. Cognat T. (C) 9. Stevanovic M. 7. Morandi G. 29. Varela K. 21. Guillemenot J.	1. Barkas V. (G) 3. van der Hoorn M. 2. Horemans S. 16. El Karouani S. 24. Viergever N. (C) 7. Jensen V. 27. Engwanda A. 21. Zechiel G. 15. Blake A. 10. Cathline Y. 9. Min D.
Substitutes
45. Atangana J. 40. Aubert M. (G) 32. Frick J. (G) 30. Jallow A. 20. Magnin T. 14. Njoh L. 5. Ondoua G. 17. Ouattara T. 33. Zuka L.	8. Bozdogan C. 25. Brouwer M. (G) 20. de Wit D. 40. Didden M. 5. Finnsson K. 33. Gadellaa K. (G) 26. Jonathans M. 55. Murkin D. 11. Ohio N. 22. Rodriguez M. 46. van Ommeren J. 23. Vesterlund N.
Coaches
Dimic B.	Jans R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Viergever N. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Guillemenot J. ⚽, Stevanovic M. (A),
27', Srdanovic L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', 1 - 1, Baron A. (Own goal), Cathline Y. (A),
55', 1 - 2, Horemans S. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
57', Morandi G. ↓, Ondoua G. ↑,
57', Srdanovic L. ↓, Magnin T. ↑,
62', 1 - 3, Zechiel G. ⚽, Blake A. (A),
70', Guillemenot J. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
70', Jensen V. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
70', Min D. ↓, Ohio N. ↑,
75', van der Hoorn M. ↓, Didden M. ↑,
75', Blake A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
80', Zechiel G. 🟨,
82', Varela K. ↓, Atangana J. ↑,
83', Cathline Y. ↓, Murkin D. ↑,
90+2', Frick J. 🟨,
90+5', Bronn D. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Servette may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Servette won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Servette won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Servette FC
Swiss Super League
02.08.25	Servette - St. Gallen	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.07.25	Servette - Viktoria Plzeň	1:3 ✺
Swiss Super League
26.07.25	Young Boys - Servette	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.07.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Servette	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Saint-Étienne - Servette	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLLWW
- FC Utrecht
UEFA Europa League
31.07.25	Utrecht - Sheriff Tiraspol	4:1 ✺
24.07.25	Sheriff Tiraspol - Utrecht	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Waalwijk - Utrecht	2:1 ✺
18.07.25	Utrecht - Charleroi	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Utrecht - Kaizer Chiefs	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.12.22	Servette - Utrecht	1:0

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