Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 25

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao)


	Sestao		Alavés B

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.88	3.75
	2.06	2.85	4.27
	2.07	2.75	4.17	Watch
	2.1	2.63	3.9
	2.08	3.02	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.97)	2.83 ↓ (3.08)	4 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
44.5%

Draw
32.5%

Alavés B
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

29.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

29.3%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Alavés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés B than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Sestao - Alavés B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Garcia J. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Morcillo D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Sestao has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alavés B is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Sestao is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sestao won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.02.26	Gernika - Sestao	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Sestao - Real Unión de Irun	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	SD Logroñés - Sestao	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Sestao - Alfaro	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Tudelano - Sestao	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLTWL
- Deportivo Alavés B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.02.26	Alavés B - Ebro	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Beasain - Alavés B	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Alavés B - Mutilvera	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Real Unión de Irun - Alavés B	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Alavés B - Eibar B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.10.25	Alavés B - Sestao	1:1
05.03.23	Alavés B - Sestao	0:0
15.10.22	Sestao - Alavés B	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
24.03.19	Sestao - Alavés B	0:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
20.12.17	Alavés B - Sestao	3:1

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