Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 32Date: 18 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | Footballclub |
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 |
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 |
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Sestao |
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Basconia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.92 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
|
 |
1.96 |
3.43 |
3.62 |
|
 |
1.93 |
3.5 |
3.53 |
 Watch |
 |
1.95 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
|
 |
1.97 |
3.42 |
3.73 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.76) |
3.35 ↓
(3.45) |
3.56 ↓
(4.39) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sestao
47% | Draw
27.3% | Basconia
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sestao's form might have worsened.Basconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sestao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basconia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Sestao - Basconia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Quintero I. ⚽,
- 31', 0 - 2, Urzaiz U. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 66', 1 - 2, Castillo Marcilla A. ⚽,
- 77', 2 - 2, Benito A. ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 2.Recent performances by Sestao have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).Basconia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). Sestao will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Sestao won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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