Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 7

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday


	Sestao		Cornellà

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	4
	1.93	2.95	3.75
	2.09	3.06	3.89
	1.92	3.13	4.15
	1.95	3.05	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (3.25)	3.06 ↑ (3)	3.93 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
46.6%

Draw
30%

Cornellà
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

30.5%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

29%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sestao's performance.

Cornellà has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cornellà might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-19.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sestao that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (+20%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cornellà could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sestao - Cornellà Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Garcia P. (G) 22. Etxeberria M. 12. Mirapeix D. 19. Corbalan A. 2. Carbonell A. 8. Garai G. 6. Leon A. 5. Martinez G. 11. Uriarte K. 18. Dopi 10. Martinez Ortiz L.	13. Meykher Y. (G) 15. Mas J. 4. Hernandez A. 5. Vilaplana Dachs M. 21. Rios E. 28. Koffi 18. Caballero A. 6. Toni Arranz 17. Canario 10. Mendes C. 23. Tenas M.
Substitutes
9. Cabo J. 14. Gete A. 21. Guruzeta J. 16. Jimenez A. 3. Mateo A. 1. Puig S. (G) 20. Sanz I. 13. Zeberio U. (G)	16. Ayala S. 8. Cherradi A. 19. Garrido C. 22. Gonpi A. 14. Kike Lopez 24. Li H. (G) 20. Verges E.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Sestao is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cornellà is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Sestao is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.10.23	Sabadell - Sestao	3:0 ✺
23.09.23	Sestao - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Sestao - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
10.09.23	SD Logroñés - Sestao	3:0 ✺
03.09.23	Sestao - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTLL
- UE Cornellà
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.10.23	Cornellà - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Cornellà	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Cornellà - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Celta de Vigo B - Cornellà	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Cornellà - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTTWW

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