Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday


	Ceuta		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	2
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.25	3.25	2.02
	3.72	3.19	2.1
	3.58	3.14	2.02
	3.35	3.35	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 (3.43)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	2.04 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
26.6%

Draw
28.4%

Ferrol
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

27.8%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

27%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Ceuta - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Ferrol will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Ceuta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferrol is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ferrol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ferrol will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.10.22	Badajoz - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
02.10.22	Ceuta - Algeciras	1:3 ✺
25.09.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Ceuta	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Ceuta - Celta de Vigo B	1:3 ✺
11.09.22	Fuenlabrada - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLL
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.10.22	Ferrol - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Badajoz - Ferrol	0:3 ✺
24.09.22	Algeciras - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	Ferrol - Leonesa	3:2 ✺
11.09.22	San Fernando - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTWW

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